"Those who desire to give up freedom in order to gain security will not have, nor do they deserve, either one."
Benjamin Franklin (American Statesman, Scientist, Philosopher, Printer, Writer and Inventor. 1706-1790)
Consider the woes of EU Socialism: Pythagorean theorem: 24 words/ Lord's prayer: 66 words / Archimedes' Principle: 67 words / Ten Commandments: 179 words / Gettysburg address: 286 words / US Declaration of Independence: 1,300 words / US Constitution with all 27 Amendments: 7,818 words / EU regulations on the sale of cabbage: 26,911 words / Europe's Problems Summed Up
State of the Stalinist incompetence of Barack Hussein Obama
A rather disappointing God.
The Dear Leader has certainly disappointed. The great man was going to unite America. He is of course the most divisive, negative President in history. A man who sat in a racist church for 20 years. Whites cling to guns and bibles according to the great 'healer'. If you criticize this Dear Leader you are a racist. Islam is peace and if you disagree you are a redneck who should be jailed, so says the former Moslem. The great man was going to resuscitate the economy and create or save 4 million [or was that trillion?] jobs. He has lost close to 3 million and killed the only 'shovel ready project' he droned on about at length for one year – the Keystone pipeline. The tax and regulation system continues to push firms offshore – along with eco-cult legislation in which the EPA is now almost a sovereign state. Real unemployment is 20%. Oppressive legislation and union friendly favours, pours out of Washington. Regulations strangle development. Billion dollar green tech and eco-fraud programs bound and caper like monkeys on a see-saw. He has supported a Moslem Brotherhood takeover of Egypt and Libya. Iran can do what it likes. The great man's socialized health care plan is both Unconstitutional and plainly irrational. The US health system is almost completely controlled and distorted by government and both Medicare and Medicaid, socialized systems are bankrupt. So the obvious conclusion is more government control of health care?
On the positive side the Dear Leader did promise to save us helpless idiots and our dear Earth Mother from non-existent rising temperatures and force back the sea levels with magic waves of his divine arm. In the past 3 years both have fallen, but even his acolytes will admit that these decreases were achieved without the great man's intercession. But don't worry mankind's greatest problem is GloblaoneyWarming combined with too much 'capitalism'....both of which can only be solutioned if the Dear Leader is re-elected. So moan the elite and media.
I don't know what people get out of the cult of the Stalinist Obama. Bumper stickers, t-shirts, posturing at the bingo hall? Statism has always failed. Europe is an on-going tragi-comedy attesting to that reality. The great men at Davos will no doubt intone that all is well and the Europe and the Euro will 'survive'. They are wrong of course. But reality does not usually impinge itself on the elite, self-absorbed and self-righteous that they usually are. The Dear Leader Obama was and always will be a radical Marxist, wedded to ideas of income redistribution, class warfare, hatred of the US Republican experiment, a disdain for white European and Christian civilization, mixed with an elite's contemptuous sneer towards the 'little people' who are too stupid to decide much for themselves. Ergo he or someone like him must rule.
The key point of the political economy and the key factor in history is this theme; the struggle of the individual against the collective power of the state. Communalization and collectivization are the 'enemies' of civilized advance. History is the unending story of the fight for freedom, free-will, self-determination, responsibility, and the pursuance of life, liberty and personal happiness defined as living in safety and pursuing what is lawful, accepted and rational. State power opposes these ideals. From Sargon the Great through to the National Socialism's of the 20th century [German, Russian, Cuban, Venezuelan, Korean, Chinese....]; and the Globalist-International Socialism of the past 20 years; the state in its many forms, guises and vices is diametrically opposed to what makes a society – and an individual – prosper.
When our country's constitution went into effect in 1788, the U.S. established a relationship between the individual and the State that was unique in history: the individual was in charge, the State would serve the individual, and there would be an arm's-length distance between the two. It is this unique relationship -- not our continental size, or our natural resources -- that propelled the U.S. into becoming the strongest, richest, freest, and most opportunity-oriented country the world has ever known.” [Herbert E. Meyer writing on American Thinker. Meyer was Vice Chair of CIA's National Intelligence Council, under Reagan].
All true. Under the Dear Leader and Prophet Obamed, the individual now serves the State. Statism is always manifested by debt; deficits; corporatism in which friends of the State including Green energy firms benefit; corruption; and patronizing patronage. National Socialist Germany was bankrupt due to the above by 1939, making a war inevitable. As with any statist cult the average person loses. Incomes shrink, inflation proceeds apace [denied by the government, the media and 'experts'], welfare blossoms and families fall apart. All of this has accelerated in the past 3 years. Bush II was derided as a 'Conservative'. He wasn't. He was a statist who expanded the powers of the Federal Government. Under his successor the State is now master of all. It is clear that this most incompetent, negative, and inconsequential President in history deserves to be fired. If this does not happen in 2012 America will deserve its fate.
Book Review, 'The Politically Incorrect Guide to the British Empire', by H.W. Crocker III
A necessary antidote.
This is a necessary book in an age of self-loathing. The British have done more good for humanity than any imperial people in history with the exception perhaps of the Romans until internecine civil wars; inflation; bureaucracy, taxes and a narcissistic culture killed it. One doubts that Crocker is being feted in British Universities, or that his book is de rigeuer reading for the elite, themselves so preoccupied with converting to Islam and the prostrations and minstrels of the eco-climate fraud cult. There is no historical parallel for the descent into virulent self-loathing now endemic in Britain and the West. If you hate yourself, you probably won't succeed in life. When nations and empires are infected with the bacillus of self-hatred it leads to self-immolation and the usurpation by ideologies – even ones vastly inferior – who are sure of themselves. Civilizations don't last forever. They can recede rather quickly:
“Alas that day is here, ushered in by United Nations bureaucrats, liberal internationalists, native kleptocrats, liberated Islamists, and Third World Communists and National Socialists, all of whom emerged as Europe's empires retreated. The retreat of the British Empire was not progress – either for Western Civilisation or in many cases for the countries achieving independence.”
Churchill's great mistake – the UN. The UN via the GlobaloneyWarming scam seeks the power of universal governance and massive international transfers of money from 'White states' to the Third World. The UN is largely a Moslem-Third World mafia responsible for the initiation of giving $2 Trillion to Africa in guilt money since 1965, with nary a positive result or dividend to show. During this same period Africa has generated plenty of tribal wars, carnage, social dislocations and the eradication of once functioning political-economies in 'colonial' states. All blamed on Western states. Jubilee. The Moslem bloc runs the UN and we have indeed liberated Islam to quote Crocker, and reinvigorated the Salafist-Wahabbi theology of intolerance one finds in the Koran through our blood money [oil payments used to fund Islamic terror]; and the withdrawal of empire [leaving Iraq in 2011, will give us the same poor sets of results as the 1932 withdrawal]. The drawing down of empire does have its consequences – few of them noble or moral.
The first 190 pages or so of this book reference the early British empire with its nascent beginnings in the 12th century under Edward I, to the British Raj and the violent dismemberment of the Indian subcontinent between the Hindus and Moslems. In today's commentary, the entire British enterprise, instigated by the English, was a disaster. Nothing good came of the English experiment in empire. All was disaster, racism, slavery, hate, war, pillage and the imposition of crude English non-civilization, onto the advanced, civilized, wonderful, peaceful, multicultural nirvanas elsewhere. I would imagine that today Rudyard Kipling would be tried for thought crimes in England. Pace Crocker on Kipling:
“..Kipling frames the white man's burden rather differently. It means binding your best men to serve another people, to take up what he says will be a thankless task, yet one that a mature and Christian people must do – to banish famine and sickness, to provide peace and order, to build roads and ports, to seek the profit of another rather than oneself....The British Empire of the twenty-first century academic lecture hall, however, is something utterly different. The idea that the British Empire was a white man's burden is treated with scorn, contempt, and ridicule....the Empire was a vehicle of rapacious, self-serving capitalists responsible for racism, slavery, and oppression on a global scale.”
Indeed. Kipling was born in India of course and was an Orientalist. He knew that the 'White Man's Burden' was the spread of civilization. This is why he welcomed American involvement in the Philippines and Asia. Today of course he would be called a neo-con Fascist, and probably would be summarily beaten in the public square by tender, cross-dressing, Koranic quoting British police 'men'.
I wonder how many Brits know anything about the characters that Crocker introduces including; Sir Francis Drake, Sir Henry Morgan, Sir Charles Cornwallis [for his successful governing of India and Ireland], Sir Walter Raleigh [an Irishman], the Duke of Wellington and the sundry other characters who could not exist in today's world. Crocker does not even go into the vast corpus of English-British genius in the fields of science, literature, the arts, engineering and other domains. Pity, but that would require 4 or 5 volumes. He only mentions a handful in the sphere of the political and military. Yet even this bifurcated and reduced list is most impressive. No other nation state can match it.
This only highlights an obvious point. Today, the mediocrity of the welfare state is all too obvious. Once society becomes a quest for the holy grail of benign paternalism, the devolution to the lowest common denominator becomes inevitable. I can't imagine a personality like Drake in today's Western state with its all powerful bureaucracy. Max Weber was right. It is not Marx's alienation of labour from production and ownership of 'making something' which causes social discord and revolution. It is the imposition of unaccountable layers of bureaucracy which dissociates people from the real world, from living, from trying, failing and trying again; and from real culture. Weber's analysis from 1890 is eerily prescient and applicable to the leviathan of today's state.
The small government structure of Britain onlyachieved; a scientific revolution, the Industrial 'revolution'; an agricultural revolution; engineering wonders, the creation of modern sewage and water systems; modern orphanages, hospitals and welfare systems; constitutional democracy; and the defence of freedom in 3 world wars. Not bad. Add to this the destruction of slavery – the only time in history a state has warred against the oldest profession, that of capturing other humans and putting them to work. As Crocker elucidates, the British war against slavery was a major impetus for colonialism. The British spent in today's money, tens of billions of pounds and lost upwards of 10.000 men in fighting human slavery from Brazil, to the Moslem states; to India. It took the British most of the 19th century to stop the cargo in humans. In the mid 1830s as Crocker relates, almost 1/3 of a British national budget was spent to free slaves in the West Indies by buying their freedom and paying off their owners. I don't remember a Moslem state doing the same.
“..between 1530 and 1780, roughly concurrent with the Atlantic slave trade, the Muslim Barbary pirates enslaved more than a million white Christians Europeans. In Africa, slavery was a long-standing domestic industry, and Europeans slavers tapped into it.”
In actual fact some 10 million Whites were taken into slavery over 1000 years by Arabs, and Moslems, including the Ottomans. No one cries over this today. No one is asking the Moslems and Arabs for reparations. Why is that?
One of the best parts of the book is Crocker's history of the British in India. An enterprise which any objective observer knows, benefited India rather grandly. The terms of trade for the English were negative by the high point of Victoria's reign. Huge quantities of capital were invested by the English in railroads, roads, schools, hospitals, the civil service, ports, agriculture and manufacturing. The once profitable trade with India was dry by 1880. The Indians were exporting vast cargoes of cotton and calicoes, along with other items such as spices and lower cost manufactures back to the mother country. Given this reality India was 'growing up' and at some point would assume independence. Some of the personalities involved in the 'conquering' of India include:
-Sir Robert Clive [the first conqueror of India]
“In the latter half of the nineteenth century, the British population in India hovered at about 100.000, compared to more than 250 million Indians. The British believed they ruled in India not only by power...but by force of personality.....and British justice, decency, and fair play, which justified the entire endeavour.”
-Sir Charles Napier [an Irishman who conquered the Sind]
“Imposing the British Christian value on women...was not easy: 'There is only one crime I cannot put down – wife killing! They think to kill a cat or dog is wrong, but I have hanged at least six for killing women: on the slightest quarrel she is chopped to pieces..I will hang 200 unless they stop.”
-George Curzon
“Curzon wanted to leave the Indian civilisation alone and govern through the British Raj and the native aristocracy. In this, he felt, there was stability, order, and a hope for continuity and permanence...He built more railroads than any other governor-general...He advanced agrarian reforms...He promoted massive new irrigation projects....He toured every hospital he could find, generally pleased at the efforts of British doctors and civil servants and unimpressed by the fatalistic attitude of native Indian officials.”
The British controlled India because their civilization was superior. India today would be far worse off without the British legacy. When India was carved up between the Moslems [Pakistan] and the rest [India]; slaughter and war was inevitable.
“Winston Churchill had warned that an independent India would degenerate into communal carnage: he was right. Hardened British officers....found themselves unable to stomach the sadistic mutilations and mass murders that followed independence and partition....not even Gandhi survived the chaos he helped unleash; he was assassinated by a Hindu nationalist.”
True enough. Millions were killed and displaced. Today, Pakistan's main geo-strategic imperative is the reduction of India and the demolition of Hindus. Maybe empire is not so bad after all. The most successful states in the world follow the British model with Canada, the US, Australia, and New Zealand being former colonies. So much for 'failure'.
More on Crocker's important work to follow.
Water Management in China
Technology to the rescue?
Water, the world's most important commodity and the largest future market. Clean-up, reuse, information gathering, work-flows, river redirection, watershed management...hardware, software, services, solutions of all varieties will be deployed. Some surmise that wars will be fought over water scarcity. China's northern region might be a desert by 2030. Over 100 projects are redirecting water into northern China from southern China. We might see more of this across the world.
“I don’t mind if China has civil war, epidemics, panics, depressions, all of that. You can recover from that. The only thing you cannot recover from is water … China has a horrible water problem in the north. India has a worse water problem, there’s no question about that; America, in some places, has water problems. If China doesn’t solve its water problems then there’s no China story … I’ve been around the world a couple of times, I’ve seen whole societies, cities, countries that disappeared when the water disappeared.
They’re spending hundreds of billions of dollars … they’re spending staggering amounts of money trying to solve their water problem. I am presuming that they will. Now, maybe they won’t, and if they won’t, in twenty or thirty or forty years, the whole story’s over.”
“The country that has a long history of devastating floods and droughts arguably faces an even bigger water crisis today. After almost 30 years of double-digit economic growth and the migration of hundreds of millions of villagers to the cities, China has been barely able to meet the spike in demand for water. Its resources were scarce to begin with and pollution has made clean water even scarcer......
The scale of the challenge is enormous. Every year, on average 15.3 million hectares of farmland—13% of the total—faces drought. Today some 300 million people living in rural areas, or nearly a quarter of China's population of 1.3 billion, don't have access to safe drinking water. And among more than 600 Chinese cities, 400 are facing water shortages, including 100 that may see serious shortages, says Ma Jun, director of the Beijing-based Institute of Public & Environmental Affairs and author of China's Water Crisis. The country would need another 40 billion cubic meters of water a year—about a tenth of the volume of Lake Erie in the U.S.—to meet the needs of all of its city dwellers fully. "China is facing a dire situation in its water supply," says Ma.”
“Rice, for instance is a very thirsty crop, but China’s rice production has been moving steadily North for many years for a number of reasons: expensive land in the South being taken out of agriculture, pollution, climate change (rice needs warm days, but also benefits from cool evenings), new varieties that are a bit less thirsty, etc. How much more of that will happen? Where are the limits? What are the prospects for a real breakthrough with drought-resistant GMOs? Or an environmental disaster with them? To what extent will very water-intensive industries, such as chemicals, relocate in response to actual or feared water shortages? What about the effects of electrical blackouts (partly due to low water levels in dams’ reservoirs) on industrial location decisions?”
“Since the 1950s, China has constructed 86,000 reservoirs, drilled more than four million wells, and developed 58 million hectares of irrigated land, which generates 70% of the country's total grain production. Efforts to conserve water have lagged far behind. The largest threat to sustainable water supplies in China is a growing geographical mismatch between agricultural development and water resources. The centre of grain production in China has moved from the humid south to the water-scarce north over the past 30 years, as southern cropland is built on and more land is irrigated further north. As the north has become drier, increased food production there has largely relied on unsustainable overuse of local water resources, especially groundwater. Wasteful irrigation infrastructure, poorly managed water use, as well as fast industrialization and urbanization, have led to serious depletion of groundwater aquifers, loss of natural habitats and water pollution.”
The biggest market in China is not infrastructure or 'consumer goods'. Demand management and the idea that the consumer is 70% of the economy is a myth. Without water there is no industry. The largest future market in China will be the commodity named water. At some point not only will water be priced on a market system for usage; but entire sectors and new technologies will be developed to manage water; clean it; redeploy it; service watershed areas and collate information around the most precious resource on the planet. China might be facing a 'water disaster' but it will be resolved with technology and brains.
Stop Online Piracy Act. More government.
How about Stop Online Government Control and Piracy? [SOGCP]
Big government, the nanny-mommy state is really your friend. Or so the bureaucrats and career politicians with nice pensions proclaim. The US Congress and Senate is contemplating yet another 'regulation' to save us from ourselves. SOPA or the Stop Online Piracy Act, is redundant and a Trojan horse for the mommy-state to control Internet content. It will destroy jobs, distort information and give government more powers to see what people [via Domain Name Servers and eventually IP addresses connected to the DNS servers] are either doing, or what information they are accessing. No thanks.
The purported concern is that 'foreign' sites are 'stealing' copyright. Boo hoo hoo. In the US alone there are no less than 13 'Acts' regulating and protecting copyright. Why the heck do we need more regulation around this issue ?
Copyright Act of 1790 - established U.S. copyright with term of 14 years with 14-year renewal
Universal Copyright Convention - ratified by the U.S. in 1954, and again in 1971, this treaty was developed byUNESCO as an alternative to the Berne Convention
Copyright Act of 1976 - extended term to either 75 years or life of author plus 50 years (prior to this, "[t]he interim renewal acts of 1962 through 1974 ensured that the copyright in any work in its second term as of September 19, 1962, would not expire before Dec. 31, 1976.");[1] extended federal copyright to unpublished works; preempted state copyright laws; codified much copyright doctrine that had originated in case law
The above already protect copyrighted material from 'theft'. There is no point to SOPA. As Wired Magazine wrote:
“The International Intellectual Property Alliance—a kind of meta-trade association for all the content industries, and a zealous prophet of the piracy apocalypse,released a report back in November meant to establish that copyright industries are so economically valuable that they merit more vigorous government protection. But it actually paints a picture of industries that, far from being “killed” by piracy, are alreadyweathering a harsh economic climate better than most, and have far outperformed the overall US economy through the current recession. The “core copyright industries” have, unsurprisingly, shed some jobs over the past few years, but again, compared with the rest of the economy, employment seems to have held relatively stable at a time when you might expect cash-strapped consumers to be turning to piracy to save money.”
Let's view SOPA for what is – another power grab by unelected bureaucrats.
The platform named the 'Internet' has created 10s of millions of new jobs, most of them unknown to the apocalyptic forecasters and sundry Marxists of the 80s and 90s, who were annually predicting the end of the world, or at least the end of all meaningful jobs. IT accounts for 17% of the US economy – the biggest industry by size of GDP. SOPA is just another national and transnational attempt to distort the market; regulate content and create a Trojan Horse so that in the future, a 'SOPA 15' circa 2020, will allow the bureaucrats to actively manage content and compile lists of what you are reading via DNS and IP traffic reporting. From such lists punishments can be meted out. The state has every vested interest to control everything you read and every thought you process. SOPA is another lame attempt by Mandarins to isolate, divide and conquer the peasant mass. Go away.
European Mayans. The not so new Neolithic.
Implosion, cults and sacrifice.
Euro, soon to be a Zeuro. Europe has long been infected with the disease which first appeared with some force in the mid 19th century from the revolutionary slogans of 1848 to the mindlessness of Nietzsche's sad little writings which attempted to create 'supermen' out of a culture which was becoming socialist. All people, cultures, ideas and nations are equal. Fairness means everyone is the same. Equality is where all people and states are equally poor and miserable. Any 'gaps' in wealth, productivity, talent or initiative must be 'reduced' by government. If you try hard you are a criminally liable idiot, a threat to the state. Life is a large vacation punctuated by periods of unproductive, unsatisfying labour. The tenets of Christian civilization – rationality, gratitude, humility, hard-work, the reduction of the ego, the Golden Rule – are all relics of superstition and stupidity. Narcissism, self-absorption, 'free' benefits, TV and cults are the coveted idols of sophistication.
When your society is built upon the foundations of Rousseau and modern cultural Marxism it is bound to fail. When a currency is created to 'hide the decline', and allow governments more unfettered access to printed money currency, regulations, taxation, and power, the end is only a matter of time. Of course European 'leaders' now 'demand' a fiscal union. That is after all the whole point of the Euro exercise. Create a monetary disaster which implodes fiscal reality, and then offer 'solutions' which involve more government centralization and unfettered power.
The Mayan prediction that December 21 2012 will herald the end of the world, might only be about Europe. Europeans, or at least their elite, are fond of neolithic fetishes after all [Globaloneywarming, hating the human, mindless TV, Islam etc.]. Maybe the Mayans were predicting the Mayanization of Europe? Europe reduced to a post-war, or post-Euro sea of ashes and devastation. Maudlin the investment-guru writing on the Zeuro-zone. It elicits a chuckle or two:
“After much deliberation, I have come to this astounding insight: The Mayan academics who created the code were not in fact astronomers or even astrologers. No, it is clear they were another breed of even more dubious forecasters, called economists. Once you approach the glyphs with that understanding, it becomes clear they are not predicting the end of the world, merely the end of Europe. One symbol clearly shows the Greek flag dipping to the ground. Another depicts the Italian flag with its wheels coming off. Oh, and you don't even want to know what they have prognosticated for the French.”
Maybe the star-gazing Mayans had insight into the black magic produced by the insemination of socialism, with cultural Marxism. It is an ugly beast indeed. Why is the Zeuro-zone bankrupt? 3 easy reasons:
“There are three main problems in Europe. The first is that most of the banks are massively insolvent, because they have 30 times their capital invested in the second problem, which is the sovereign debt of countries that are going to have trouble paying that debt. If the banks have to mark down the debt to what its real value is – or to what it will soon be – they will be bankrupt on a scale that makes 2008 look like a waltz in the park.
....For most of the past two years, European leaders have tried to deal with the problems as though they were short-term liquidity problems: "If we just find the money to buy some more Greek bonds, then Greece can figure out how to solve its problems and then pay us back. Given enough time, the problem can get solved."
They have now arrived at the understanding that it this not a short-term problem. Rather, it's a solvency problem of the various governments, which of course creates a solvency problem for their banks. They are now addressing the problem of solvency and providing capital until such time as certain countries can get their budgets under control and the bond market sees fit to provide the capital they need.”
Solvency crises don't magically disappear because the Mandarins running Europe yawn over their sumptuous banquets that they will 'do everything' they can to save the Zeuro, before devouring their second main course and running back to their palaces post digestion. Not even the divine magic hand of the 'Great Man' Obama can wave away the ills of Europe. The Zeuro project was always a political-social project. The Euro's destruction is however, an opportunity to impose more 'union' including the eradication of fiscal and the remaining political independence of the 27 nation states that make up the bloc.
I don't see what the average person gets from all of this. The elite get an empire – impoverished, riven by divisions and corruption; infiltrated by Islam or 'Islamism' if you prefer; unproductive, ageing, culturally and fiscally bankrupt and decrepit. But the new Mayan elite get the power, based on their loyal union elite and governmental-working elite. But for the average person not connected to the unions and the neo-politburo, it is hard to fathom what they get from the Euro socialist-Marxist experiment. Peace ? Good bread ? Unlimited time off ? Penury ? A stultified coddled life ? Thought police ? No freedom ? The eradication of their savings ? A low standard of living ? The cults of Islam and GlobalWarming? This seems to be a pretty lousy trade-off. You get peace for an existence unworthy of the name.
Or maybe the Euros are simply trading in reality for the culture of the Maya. Shamans and priests running the society. Everyone afraid, superstitious, uneducated, and supine. Science and rationality non-existent. The earth and celestial cults erasing cognition. Freedom unheard of. Sacrifices made daily to the elite's 'gods' including the human. Maybe this is what Europe wants – a return to the Mayan neolithic. And maybe that is what the December 21 2012 prediction is really about. Europe imploding and becoming Mayan.
Offshoring, Inshoring and the Government-Union nexus
Hostess as yet another example of the obvious.
The usual lament is that 'we don't build anything anymore' in advanced economies. This is not true. 15 % of GDP is in manufacturing and if one adds in software and technology development – which is a manufacturing process – the number is 30%. IT accounts for about 15% of US GDP making it the single most important industry. There are three factors about manufacturing which the mainstream media never reports.
The first is that high taxes, ridiculous regulation, labour rigidity through governmental laws and 'rights', and the total cost burden per worker have all risen by more than 50% in the past 30 years. This is a real cost solutioned in part, by offshoring some aspect of manufacturing overseas.
The second fact is that unionization has in large measure added to the problems of the above. Unions are literally forcing firms to go bankrupt. See GM, Chrysler, and now Hostess [detailed below] as prime exhibits.
Offshoring leads to Inshoring. There are over 10 million inshored jobs in North America, created in the past 15 years. The manufacturing process is not monolithic. Inshore jobs include retailing, distribution, creative design, high quality production, client management, and ancillary product creation. It is simply untrue that nothing is made in an advance economy.
If you want to increase 'Inshoring' reduce the burdens of government and of labor. Reform or eradicate unions. Hostess the maker of the Twinkie is a classic example of union created bankruptcy. Its sordid tale can be summarized: [see also the WSJ for a summation though unions are not blamed]
-2009 filed for Chapter 11
-$500 million in losses the past two years
-20.000 unionized workers
-No flexibility from the unions about the use of technology, better processes or productivity enhancing reforms.
-Post 2009 the Unions would not lessen their rules about work. Drivers could not unload their trucks. Trucks could not service more than one large store at a time. Hours and over-time, not to mention worker numbers strictly regulated.
-$100 million per annum paid out to retired workers, or even workers who did not work for the company in benefits.
-$150 million per annum in welfare state costs [health care etc.]
-High prices due to labor rigidity and costs. [Sounds like GM]
The Hostess firm made more than just the fat enhancing Twinkie. But thanks to union greed, 20.000 people will be without jobs. The only way to salvage the assets is for a private capital firm to buy Hostess, fire the union, hire non-Union labor and return the firm back to reality. But that is unlikely to happen. In 2009, the firm was bought by a venture capital firm who decided to 'play nice' and appease the unions. Within 2 years its $350 million buy-out was in ruins, the firm a shambles, and the entire workforce disbanded.
In a normal market without government and union distortion there will be a mix of offshored and inshored processes and job creation. This should be encouraged. But when governments and unions view firms, capital and humans as fodder and plunder, the result is predictable. More job losses, more laments about 'the greed of those who offshore', and more demands that 'government must do something'. It appears that government is already doing more than enough to encourage job destruction – along with their union friends.
Why the Blackberry will survive – and do quite nicely.
It is highly profitable, with good products, and embedded in large corporations.
The Apple cult. We can add as well the Google cult. Great firms to be sure. Apple was near dead in the 1990s – its operating-system closed to the Microsoft platform, its development eco-system limited to what Apple would approve, and its management arrogant and short-sighted. Times change. Businesses develop in spurts and have to suffer downturns [or recessions], in order to improve themselves. If building products and services was so easy, everyone and every business would grow to Applesque or Googleian proportions. This rarely occurs.
RIM's stock price has declined in 4 years from $75 per share to $15. Yet the poorly named products with funny numbers continue to do well. RIM has 75 million clients and is deeply embedded in the corporate market – unlike Apple. It is very profitable firm generating over $200 million in quarterly profits. It has proprietary and world leading technology in network delivery, security, wireless email and mobile application development. The Playbook is a very good tool and much more appropriate for business than the larger iPad – which needs a separate contract to be ubiquitously wireless making it more expensive than the RIM product. RIM's QNX's OS is going to be embedded into auto computers and the mobile-auto market has plenty of future potential. Traveling living rooms which are computerized activated by voice running on the embedded QNX OS.
There is plenty of time left to revitalize the BB eco-system. Personally my BB devices have proven themselves to be excellent in all aspects. I would never join the Apple cult and pay out the cult dues on new over priced units.
RIM's first problem is lousy marketing and the fact that the media drools over every Apple device. Apple could coat a stick with cow manure and wrap it in a box and the Media will chant that this is the greatest product ever. Apple did not invent any of its consumer products, Jobs et al improved on what existed. Good for them but the game is far from over. RIM's second problem is that they need new blood at the top. Basillie and Laziridis are great leaders but the firm has grown too large and is now in unfamiliar territory for the entrepreneurs. Never underestimate your competition - RIM will learn and grow.
Jenkins in the WSJ makes some excellent points about Apple and RIM:
“Open and closed were never the absolutes they appear to be. Remember, the Web and Web browser saved Apple as much as Steve Jobs did. And the iPod and iPhone would not have been so conquering if Apple had not been prepared to make iTunes available on Windows. The iPhone now wouldn't be clawing its way into corporate America if Apple weren't prepared to entertain email clients other than Apple's.
Today's ecosystem wars are in many respects just a revisitation of yesteryear's operating-system wars. Those wars also seemed to have a winner-take-all flavor—until Netscape came along to deliver access to a Web-based cornucopia of information and applications that didn't need Windows.
There's another reason for future openness we hesitate to mention: Antitrust regulators at some point will likely add their weight to the competitive pressure if they see the public being locked into a choice of only two ecosystems, Apple's or Android's, for all their TV, etc.
So the future may be friendlier to BlackBerry, Nokia and Windows Phone than it now appears. People don't want to dress the same. They don't want to carry the same device. The market may soon become welcoming to manufacturers making a multitude of gadgets for a multiplicity of tastes and preferences without requiring users to forgo membership in the Apple or Android clouds or both.”
There is more than enough market space for a RIM to survive and thrive. As Jenkins also suggests, it would help RIM to have an office in Silicon Valley. They need to fire whoever does their marketing. Management needs new ideas and energy. All of RIM's problems – product delivery, client expectations, rising costs, poor marketing – are soluble. It might be a brave man who predicts a RIM Renaissance, but it or more likely to be a foolish man who orders RIM's tombstone in 2012.
Averroes and the myth of Aristotle's 'logic'.
One Moslem man equals 200 Western thinkers....
The great conflation. Averroes equals 200 Western men of letters, philosophy, theology and science. But so it goes with the post-modern cult. Ask anyone who the great Moslem 'thinkers' were and you will get 3 names – al Kindi [an Arab], Avicenna [a Persian] and Averroes. A poor harvest indeed.
Out of obedience to cultural diktats I read my Averroes, a Moslem mathematician and philosopher from Cordoba who lived from 1126 – 1198 AD. Now what? He is famous – supposedly -- for his reintroduction of Aristotle into Western discourse. The problem with this theory is that Aristotle's logic was thoroughly understood and analyzed by 300 AD within the West. It was further elaborated upon, accepted, rejected and reformed by many minds from the 'fall' [or gentle decline into another civilisation] of Rome, until the 14th century. Aristotle was well known in other words, to the Europeans and much debated for 700 years before Averroes poked out his nose from the cult of moderation and tolerance and told the world – especially the Jews who took up Averroism – that Aristotle was completely right. This is hardly a 'breakthrough' in philosophy or grandeur in 'thinking'.
“While Maimonides [the great Jewish physician and Torah reformer of the 12th century], with all his admiration for Aristotle, dared to contradict his theories, or at least sought to attenuate them when they were in direct opposition to religion, Averroes indorsed them to their utmost extent, and seemed even to take pleasure in emphasizing them. "God," says Averroes, "has declared a truth for all men that requires for understanding no intellectual superiority; in a language that can be interpreted by every human soul according to its capability and temper. The expositors of religious metaphysics are therefore the enemies of true religion, because they made it a matter of syllogism" (J. Müller, "Philosophie und Theologie," including the Arabic text, pp. 104 et seq.)”
Averroes simply accepts everything that Aristotle posits. This is rational science ? In his own words Christianity is simply a metaphysical syllogism, or in lay terms, a set of words of cant which offend the true God. Islam by extension must be as bad as Christianity, though Averroes gets around this by accepting the figurative essence of the Koran. In any event the statement above is a main reason that Averroes was exiled by his Moslem masters from the multi-cultural intellectual 'ferment' of Cordoba to Morocco. So much for Islamic learning.
Averroes also denied free-will or at least restricted it unlike Maimonides. "Our soul," says Averroes, "can have preferences indeed, but its acts are limited by the fatality of exterior circumstances; for if its deeds were the production of its will alone, they would be a creation independent of the first cause, or God." This is fatalism. Your own will is limited because it is something independent of what a God would allow, since that God controls all externalities. Ergo no true free-will. This is a problem. Without free-will there is no freedom and no need for the separation of church and state. So tell me again what his contribution to Western civilisation was ? Let us not forget that Averroes was also a devout Moslem who supported Jihad, though modern minds would call that a 'moderate' position since he advocated Jihad only when the Infidel would suffer certain defeat.
In G.R. Evans' excellent book, 'Fifty Key Medieval Thinkers', he outlines the Christian reaction against Averroism – today of course the censors would term such refutations hate speech. Back in the non-existent 'Dark Ages' this was termed debate and discourse. Albert Magnus completed the 'Unicity of the intellect against Averroes' in 1256; Aquinas the 'Summa against Gentiles [or Unbelievers]' a short while thereafter; and others until 1277 joined in condemning Averroes and his Aristotelian disposition that a God would be entirely removed from earthly existence, and that in all matters of importance, philosophy and theology were incompatible, itself a nonsense given the great stream of Neo-Platonist thought one finds in Christian liturgy. One can read Augustine in the 5th century to witness the Platonic influence on both Pauline and early Church theology.
So apparently 3 'Moslems' – Avicenna [11th century], Averroes [12th century], and al-Kindi [9th century] – are the equivalent to about 200 learned men I can list who existed in Western society between 600 and 1500 AD. Not to mention a score of artists and literary geniuses. I can't name one single Moslem artist nor literary inventor during this same period, though some Persian poets do float to mind. But we are assured that the 'big 3' of Islam, are the equivalent of hundreds of Western thinkers.
Nay sorry. They are better. Without them, the cultural Marxist myth goes, there would be no learning in the Western world. The 'Dark Age' in which Europeans were running around unclothed, unclean, hairy and stupid would never have ended....The massive inventions of the mind, the spirit, and of reason which set the stage for the 'Reformation', and 'Enlightenment' [itself a period of witch burning], would never have taken place. The Western world was already in the ascendant by 1000 AD, long before Averroes regurgitated his Aristotle and denounced Christianity. There is nothing unique in Averroes and certainly little new commentary that one would deem 'brilliant'. He simply reiterates what Aristotle said in his works on Logic. How banal.
So I read my Averroes, now what ?
The disappearing US Middle Class ?
50 years ago 60% or more were 'middle class', now down to 40%.
Is the US Middle Class disappearing? If it is that bodes ill for the future of the Western nation state. If the Middle Class is dying in the US, it must be dead elsewhere. The greatest obstacle to National Socialism, Divine Right Rule, Paternalistic Despotism, or Enlightened Absolutism is of course a strong Middle Class of family-oriented people, who are 'centers of power' in opposition to the endless march of government. Take away this bulwark in a post-modern, post-Christian age and there is little left to oppose the might of the State. Inflation, debt and the destruction of oppositional centers to power usually presage the end of empire.
In times past the ability to own business and property, with a capability to defend their rights legally and physically, married with an extremely jaundiced view of 'government', defined the Middle Class. The only method to develop a cadre of 'middle income families' is through trade, free investment, freer markets in capital and labour, and the limitation of private property theft by a parasitic class of civil servants and politicians. Part of Europe's problem is that both labor and capital are rigid, and the middle class has long lost its aversion to ever-more government. In fact most middle income earners are socialist or Marxist.
Families need jobs and jobs are killed off by excess taxation and regulation. It is also a cultural mindset. Most voters want bigger government and less freedom. Too many people view working as arbitrary. They would much rather join the ranks of government workers and earn 2x more than they could in the private sector and 4x more when pensions and sick-day payoffs are added in. Or they believe that the 'system' or someone's 'stash' owes them welfare, health care, education, housing and pensions. Once the culture becomes communal collapse is a matter of time.
#1Today, only 55.3 percent of all Americans between the ages of 16 and 29 have jobs.
#2 In the United States today, there are 240 million working age people. Only about 140 million of them are working
#11Since 1971, consumer debt in the United States has increased by a whopping1700%.
#12 The number of pages of federal tax rules and regulations has increased by18,000% since 1913. The wealthy know how to avoid taxes, but most of those in the middle class do not.
#13 The number of Americans that fell into poverty (2.6 million) set a new all-time record last year and extreme poverty (6.7%) is at the highest level ever measured in the United States.
#18Food prices continue to rise at a very brisk pace. The price of beef is up 9.8% over the past year, the price of eggs is up 10.2% over the past year and the price of potatoes is up 12% over the past year.
#25Since Barack Obama took office, the number of Americans on food stamps has increased by 14.3 million.
#26 In 2010, 42 percent of all single mothers in the United States were on food stamps
#27 In 1970, 65 percent of all Americans lived in "middle class neighborhoods". By 2007, only 44 percent of all Americans lived in "middle class neighborhoods".
#28 According to a recent report produced by Pew Charitable Trusts, approximately one out of every three Americans that grew up in a middle class household has slipped down the income ladder.
Some caveats. Poverty for example. In my little mind government 'statistics' are rarely pure and full of transparent reason. Poverty figures suit many different stakeholders who access public funds, not to mention the expansion of agencies and bureaucracies. The definition of poverty keeps rising, not falling. Real poverty levels are probably no more than 5-10 % of the total population. People with iPhones, cars, fridges and running water are not 'poor'. But the point made is that many families are struggling. Between taxes and real inflation this is obvious.
Two other aspects from this list are also true. First, thanks to National Socialism and Corporatism, the elite and their politically connected businesses are getting richer each year and holding a higher share of national income. See #29. This corruption is widespread and profound. It significantly distorts the political-economy. Second, social spending has gone up 5 x faster than GDP growth in the past 50 years – a sure sign of income redistribution which in the end retards economic development. Poverty has climbed if you believe the published figures. When social spending is so astronomically high the distortions in income, job creation, wealth generation, mobility, and even innovation are negatively impacted. How can more people be in trouble today than 50 years ago if the nanny-state which is so omnipresent is the solution to society's ills ? The math does not add up.
Statism makes matters worse not better when huge tracts of society and the political-economy are national-socialized. Poverty will increase not decrease. Just as revenues will go down not up when taxes are raised. But such facts will be lost on those who want the complete socialization of everything and the infantilization of all people. By then the Middle Class will indeed be long dead, and there will be the elite run either by Marxist or Eco-fanatics or both; and the rest. The trend is rather clear on that point.
Mark Steyn, 'After America – Get Ready for Armageddon'
Culture is King. Post America – now what ?
2012 is the most pivotal election in the US since 1980. Americans will either choose to revert back to their Constitution, and to what truly makes a country great and repudiate Marxist-Eco socialism, or they will vote to follow Europe over the abyss into the dark hell-hole of communal suicide. No salvation post 2012 if the Americans choose poorly. Worse the entire geo-political structure of the planet would reverberate with chaos and danger. America becoming Sweden is a project of immorality merged with ignorance.
Steyn's 'America Alone' the precursor to this work 'After America', was a flawed demography survey in which America would survive while most of the rest of the world would collapse due to a higher birth-rate. As reviewed previously, the problem with such a deductionist approach is that most of America's high birth-rate comes from Hispanics. The core of America, or 'Red State' America has a slightly higher than replacement rate. The true population growth lies in the Hispanic community. Like Jews some 80 % of Hispanics vote for the [un]Democratic party. This collection of sophists, Marxists, eco-communists, union workers, rich lawyers, Hollywood-sexual deviants and lovers of the big nanny state are only too happy to turn America into a Moslem-dominated larger version of poor, disgruntled, disturbed Belgium. Steyn misses the key point about the political-economy - Culture, not birth-rates is King. And when your culture is run-amok Socialism what happens? As Steyn writes in After America:
“In America, federal spending (inflation adjusted) went from $600 billion in 1965 to $3 Trillion in 2008 [it is actually $3.5 Trillion in 2011].”
“By 1788, Louis XIV's government in France was spending a mere 60% of revenues on debt service, and we know how that worked out for the House of Bourbon shortly thereafter.”
...”by 2020 the government will be paying between 15 and 20 percent of its revenue in debt interest. Whereas defense spending will be down to between 14 and 16 percent.”
“...debt service projections for 2015 would increase from $290 billion to $847 billion. China would be in a position to quadruple its military budget and stick US taxpayers with the bill.”
Bankruptcy is always ugly. So is the cultural decline associated with the big-Nanny PC Marxist state. Steyn quoting a British historian on the current cultural apathy and decline:
“...[no we can't] land on the moon, swiftly win wars against weak opposition and then control the defeated nation, secure national borders, discover breakthrough medical treatments, prevent crime, design and build to a tight deadline, educate people so they can work before the age of 22.....”
The Obamabots were screaming 'Yes we Can'. I guess they meant, Yes We Can do nothing and still enjoy a great standard of living. Or Yes we Can never grow up. You can live in Sweden, or the future USA, and be a child your entire life. The mommy-state will do everything for you from wiping your nose to issuing state-approved toilet paper to wipe your backside with. Let's not forget the 27.000 words in EU legislation organizing and regulating the sale of cabbage. God forbid that anyone would actually buy some cabbage which was unregulated by an encyclopedia sized bureaucratic diktat. That too will come to America. 30.000 word dictations on the sale of napkins.
“To open a restaurant in NYC requires dealing with the conflicting demands of at least eleven municipal agencies, plus submitting to twenty-three city inspections, and applying for thirty different permits and certificates.”
In 'After America' Steyn corrects the obvious problem with his first book, that being the fact that culture is king, with a long brood about American decline and the domestic and geo-political chaos which would inevitably follow an American self-implosion. After America then what ? UN world government dominated by the Moslem bloc ? A Chinese 'protection zone' throughout all of East Asia which allows a water-starved China access to watershed and riverine areas in neighbouring states under the rubric of 'stability' ? A Greater Russia reconquering the weak bits of Eastern Europe ? A Moslem Caliphate built on the 'Arab Spring' springing up from Tripoli to Ankara and wiping out any Jews and Christians foolish enough to remain in the lands of Muhammad ?
If and when America goes bankrupt and its military becomes the size of Canada's token 19.000 under-funded police force, the world will most certainly become a far uglier place. The America-haters should read this book. Their wish to demolish the largest obstacle between civilisation and the resurrection to power of theologies from the neolithic era, might well occur. Jubilee for the big brains.
If you object to the cultural Marxist multi-cult nirvana and Socialism:
“The evolution from -isms to phobias is part of the medicalization of dissent: the Conformicrats simply declare your position a form of mental illness.”
Speaking of cabbage, Public workers make a lot of it:
“In 2009, the average civilian employee of the United States government earned $81,258 in salary plus $41,791 in benefits. Total: $123,049. The average American employed in the private sector earned $50,462 in salary plus $10,589 in benefits. Total: $61,051.”
High cost of Low regulation:
“By 2005, the costs of federal regulatory compliance alone...were up to $1.13 Trillion or approaching 10 % of GDP. In much of America it takes far more paperwork to start a business than to go on welfare.”
High taxes and poor regulation means offshoring:
“From 1947 to the start of the downturn in 2008, manufacturing declined from 25.6 percent of the economy to 11 percent, while finance, insurance, real estate, and 'professional services' grew from 13.9 per cent to 33.5 percent.”
Depreciated, useless Lower Education:
“In 1940, a majority of the U.S. Population had no more than a Grade Eight education. By 2008, 40 per cent of 18-24 year olds were enrolled in college.....the typical American is almost twice as old by the time he completes his education as he was in 1940, and has spent over twice as long in the classroom...”
The blessings of Euro-UK socialism?
“...debauch your human capital. The UK has the highest drug use in Europe, the highest incidence of sexually transmitted disease, the highest number of single mothers, the highest abortion rate; marriage is all but defunct, except for toffs, upscale gays, and Muslims.”
and
“...In Wales, Northern Ireland, and parts of northern England, the state accounts for between 73 and 78 percent of the economy...”
And the outcome of America's Socialist failure? The reduction ad-absurdum of once virile and intelligent US culture, into the apathetic stupidity and finally dissolution that all communal programs demand. Culture is King:
“Culture is not immutable. But changing culture is tough and thankless and something America's ever weakening assimilationists no longer have the stomach for. So go with the numbers: the SouthWest will be Mexican, and Washington's writ will no longer run....” and in quoting Andrew McCarthy; “Civilization is not an evolution of mankind but the imposition of human good on human evil. It is not a historic inevitability. It is a battle that has to be fought every day, because evil does not recede willingly before the wheels of progress.”
All true. The American fetish with Marxist-PC-communalism will end in a disaster. No one knows what shape that destruction will take. The US dissolving into disparate nation states is surely one likely outcome. So too is global chaos. Going bankrupt and destroying a successful culture and replacing it with post-modern gibberish and shibboleths has its consequences. History is not necessarily linear not does it evolve in 'stage theories' to broad sunlit uplands of hopey dopey change and rainbows, in nice steps and progressions. Oftentimes a civilization crashes, regresses, dissolves or simply breaks apart, ripped and torn asunder by various forces of culture, finance, external aggression, and population decline. Steyn's book outlines why American hegemony might well fall, and what will happen if it does.
Christ's Mass. Why it is so important.
And not just for gifts, drinking and feasting.
The Christian story, and the concomitant rise of reason, European civilization and the modern world, is the greatest story in human history. Even teeth-gnashing, hair-pulling Marxists, Obama Worshippers and pop-culture devotees who loathe Christians [but love Muslims]; owe their very existence to Christians and the medieval Europeans, who created all of the foundations for our modern world political-economy. For many people who are chained and in bondage to various politically-correct totalitarianism's and multi-cult worship, this signal fact is lost and debauched. For these personalities nothing much good has ever come out of White culture, Europe, Christianity or the ridiculously named 'Dark Ages'. Apparently it wasn't until Voltaire and his friends, including their progeny Hegel, Marx and Lenin appeared that 'reason' rescued us from darkness. Or perhaps it was the Arabs and Muslims. Or maybe the Hindus. Or the Confucians. Or was it the Hittites and the Sky God Baal?
In any event, even Christian haters can partake of Christmas and the celebration of the modern world, built by Christian and Judaic culture. But what is Christmas historically?
Western Christmas:
The modern Christmas story is premised on the birth of Christ as described in Matthew (see Matthew 1:18-2:12). Roman Catholics first celebrated Christmas, or what was known as the Feast of the Nativity, as early as 336 AD.
The word Christmas:
Christmas comes from the old English verbiage for the Mass of Christ or "Cristes maesse". Xmas as a short form came into use during the 4th century. The letter X is the Greek letter chi, an abbreviation of Khristos (Christ), and also represents the cross on which Jesus was crucified.
Origins of Christmas:
Most likely the mass of Christ celebration started in the 4th century [after Constantine declared Christianity as the Roman Empire's unifying theology]. It became a substitute for the pagan celebration of the winter solstice. The 12 days of Christmas and its traditions such as caroling, gifts, yule log, the wishing of good cheer to all, and the holiday feasts can all be traced back to the early Mesopotamians who performed 12 days as part of a festival honouring the changing of the seasons, fertility and the appeasement of various Sumerian and Assyrian Godheads.
Paganism merged with Christmas:
It was during the crucial 4th century that the Romans appropriated pagan theologies and incorporated them into Christianity. This process of dissolving pagan artifacts into Christian liturgy and practice lasted until the early modern period. During the fourth century, the Roman Church took the pagan Roman winter solstice celebration called the festival of 'Saturnalia' and seamlessly merged it into Christian practices. Hence the use of December 25th as the 'birthday' of Christ. [Most likely Christ was born in April]. The Saturnalian feast was dedicated to as the birthday of the unconquered sun or Sol Invictus. In modern parlance 'saturnalian' means a riotous celebration. During this festival the Romans exchanged small gifts. This practice found its way during the medieval period, into Christmas celebrations.
Popular Culture:
Christmas past-times changed and became deeply embedded in the North American popular culture. Santa Claus and other traditions were added. Books by men such as Washington Irving in 1820 in his iconic, 'The Keeping of Christmas at Bracebridge Hall' resonated with a population which expanded Christmas celebrations out of the purely theological and into the commercial. In 1860 American illustrator Thomas Nast, building on European stories about Saint Nicholas who was a Christian pastor in Turkey and the patron saint of children, to create Father Christmas or Santa Claus. Saint Nick's story was elaborated upon by many writers and cartoonists and soon became an emblem of the Christian spirit of giving, and spreading joy to the world's children.
Real meaning of Christmas:
The commercialization of Christmas has overshadowed its cultural and theological purpose. Christmas should be not only about feasts, drinking, gift-giving and the joy of children, but also a sober reflection on what the Book of Matthew – the progenitor of the entire Christmas enterprise – has to say about ethics, rationality, faith, good works and character. Reading passages from the Book of Matthew would undoubtedly reinforce the Christmas and Western spirit and generate a cultural shift in reason, optimism, hope and morality.
Merry Christmas.
REAL GDP vs. REAL Debt levels......
The real economy cannot pay for all the debts incurred.
GDP is a poor measurement of economic size. It was developed by Kuznets during the great statist monarchy of King FDR a man who tried to run America as leader for life [no term limits for the King!]. Nominal GDP includes government spending. Spending by the state is not a part of the real economy or Real GDP. It is a part of the statist-fantasy economy. The state can borrow a few trillion dollars from overseas lenders, erect statues, pyramids and memorials to itself or its chosen elitist representatives, and declare a net benefit to the 'economy'. This is rather absurd. The state in North America and Europe accounts for at least 40% of GDP. The goal is 100%. This 40% must be subtracted from the total GDP to arrive at a real economic size. When juxtaposed against real debts the glaringly obvious fact is that we are bankrupt – every single Western state is insolvent when you compare real debts to real GDP:
Country
Nominal GDP at Purchase Power Parity [PPP] in Trillions USD
Real GDP in Trillions
Nominal Debts in Trillions
Real Debts including off the balance sheet liabilities in Trillions
Never in history has any state survived when real debts are 200% or more of real GDP. [See Braudel's history of modern Europe for example.] We are at double, triple or quadruple that level right now with no end to the spending and debt madness in sight.
It is not just Greece and the 'periphery' of Europe which is a problem. The entire construct of Western National-Socialism and the nanny-state is the problem. Government is simply too large, and doing too many things poorly. All experiments in National-Socialism fail. China has spent about $8 Trillion in the past 10 years on infrastructure. Rotting ghost towns pockmark the nation. Its nominal GDP at PPP is about $7 Trillion. China has therefore consumed its entire economic size in debt in just 10 years. There is no indication that the spending frenzy in China will stop. States including China, simply implode when the carnivore called debt simply digests the real economy.
The Age of Aquarius has plundered future generations to erect a system rotted with fraud, corruption, double-dealing and oppressive fees and taxes. No one disputes the need to help people in need with education, health or welfare. What is also indisputable is that the current system is inefficient in achieving the state's objectives on social issues; but very efficient in parting people from their money – much of which is wasted and most of which has been pilfered from the unborn.
LaFramboise, 'The Delinquent Teenager who was mistaken for the World's top Climate Expert'
Children inventing myths.
“Scientists believe carbon dioxide used to comprise less than 0.03% of the atmosphere – 280 parts per million – prior to the industrial revolution. Currently, at 390 parts per million, it's approaching 0.04%. Barring emissions reductions, by the year 2100 that number could reach 0.06%. All this fuss is based on a hypothesis that says our planet is so unstable a slight increase in one particular trace gas will trigger disaster.”
There is little science to Globaloneywarming or ClimateBaloney. Co2 is a trace chemical and follows climate of course. Canadian journalist LaFramboise has done the world a service in exposing the lack of rigor, science, and the clear activism within the UN-IPCC and its derivative institutions such as East Anglia and even NASA. Activism is not science. Originally reviewed here, Laframboise presents the following facts which should enrage any biped who enjoys living in a modern world:
-The 'we use only peer reviewed science' claim is a lie. Of the 18,531 references in the 2007 Climate Bible, 1/3 was non peer-reviewed. Keep in mind that the rest is peer reviewed by people in the Green 'industry' and not be outside 'skeptics' or people who want to see original source material, information and code.
-Among sources used by the IPCC were newspaper and magazine articles, unpublished Masters and Phd theses, Greenpeace and WWF documents, and press releases.
-21 out of 44 chapters in the 2007 Climate Bible have so little peer reviewed literature that they are simply unscientific.
-Greenpeace controls in large measure many aspects of the 'Climate Bible' which purports to explain to the peasant mass how 'climate works' and what is happening with the climate. For example the IPCC Chair, the former Indian railroad engineer Pachauri, has written for Greenpeace funded publications.
-Greenpeace executives such as Bill Hare fill or have filled prominent IPCC roles.
-Greenpeace activist Ove Guldberg had 'nine chapters of the 2007 Climate Bible base their conclusions [on reefs] partly on his work....Between 1994 and 2000 he wrote four reports about coral reefs and climate change that were funded, vetted, and published by Greenpeace.'
-78 high profile IPCC personnel in high positions were or are World Wildlife Fund members and activists including activists Richard Moss [WWF VP] and Jennifer Morgan [WWF chief spokesman and now Director for the World Resources Institute].
-120 of the top personnel in the IPCC are from the NOAA [National Oceanic Atmosphere Administration] – an activist group dedicated to the myth that humans are causing global warming.
-No independent peer review occurs. It is activists reviewing the climate 'models' and claims of other activists. No independent review of the computer models and their code has ever been conducted [garbage in, garbage out]. This is called a conflict of interest and activism, not science.
-A quasi independent committee investigating the IPCC's quality assurance process found 'significant shortcomings in each major step of IPCC's assessment process.' But of course the science is closed.
-Computer models assume 'positive feedback only'. In nature you have counter-reactions not only positive reactions. “Incredible as it sounds, therefore, the only reason climate models tell us we are at risk of eco apocalypse is because the climate modelers believe our climate system behaves in a manner that is opposite to the way most natural systems behave.”
The IPCC scam reminds me of the Gay Gene myth which greatly profited its founder Dean Hamer, even though not one shred of science constituted his claims [which begs the question of why the lamebrain media would report it as fact....]. The Climate swindle should enrage anyone who believes that scientific truth is only revealed by testing hypotheses and having transparent informational sources given to other experts in the field who are not activists, but people searching for hard facts and truth, who can confirm or deny the hypotheses and testing procedures. Activism is not science. Science is never closed. For fair minded people not blinded by eco-theology and drunk on communalist dogma, this book will at least make you question the real purpose of the UN-IPCC, and those politicians and bureaucrats so enthusiastic about 'human created climate disruption'. Political programs and cults are not science.
The Vikings are cutting back their Nanny State.
They even have a flat tax [high but flat].
The Viking states over 400 years; roughly from about 800 AD to 1200 AD were able to accomplish the following: discover North America, settle Iceland and Greenland; conquer England, northern France, Sicily, parts of the Balkans; found the Rus` Kyiv empire; provide most of the men for the 200 year Crusades to the East; control trade routes from Ireland to Constantinople (the Viking Arc); and invent the most advanced shipping technology in the world. It is enough to send a modern multi-cult Marxist into an epileptic shock.
Today of course the Vikings are famous for men who want to become pregnant; socialized day care; cars that look like small planes; and poor quality cell phones; not to mention men in pony tails and sandals imitating Abba.
A slight cultural diminution. We can see the results. If Sweden was in North America it would be the poorest jurisdiction with the lowest per-capita incomes; the lowest standard of living; and the worst productivity.
The average income for a Swede in Sweden is $36, 600, while the average income in the United States is $45,500—and the average income for a Swede in the United States is $ 56,900 – 55 percent more than the Swedish average. ...Interestingly Sweden also has the 'sickest' workforce in Europe, even though it has 'free' socialized health care, with 20% of its workforce not working on any given day. Considering that only 60% of employable Swedes actually work, this means that the daily employment rate is less than 50%. In other words, more than half of those who could work are being sustained by the half who actually do work.
No one works, but all may receive. Welcome to Nirvana.
Norway is fat on oil and like Denmark dependent on Germany. If the German economy implodes thanks to EUtopian bankruptcy then both states will find that their socialist tyranny is unsustainable.
But perhaps one can be too hard on the Vikings. Could such a beaten down set of societies with no dynamism change, or be forced into a metamorphosis, especially as Europe goes bankrupt ?
The Viking lands basically sat out World War II some minor fighting by the Norwegians and Danes notwithstanding. The Swedes were part of Hitler`s raw material supply chain and discretely an ally – much like the Swiss who became the bank vaults for the Nazi treasure and gold. When Europe lay in ruins in 1945 the modern Vikings collected tribute through the exportation of raw material and manufactured goods. Wealth was created and the Viking Ninny state formed. GDP in the Viking lands doubled in one generation. Reasonably poor states were now reasonably well-off. Socialism was deemed to be the answer to the question of how can a nation achieve societal peace.
In 1993 the Swedish pony-tail state, feminized and collectivized spent 68% of the national income. In 2011 it had dropped to 48 % - below that of France (52%). One has to wonder if Occupy Sweden will get out the longboats and blockade Stockholm in protest. The trend in Sweden is the reduction of the omnipotent state which will simply bankrupt the nation. So it is with Denmark and Norway as well. Expect the cutting to continue.
Interestingly the Nordic states all have a flat tax structure. The ridiculous regressive tax structure of taxing higher incomes more does not exist in post-modern Viking land. Tax rates are punishing on income and capital. But at least the insanity is fairly distributed. Everyone shares in the pain – unlike in North America where half of all workers pay no national income tax which means they don`t support defence, border control, the bureaucracy and the thousands of programs transferring money thither and hither.
Since 1993, Sweden has cut government spending by 20% of GDP, Finland by 11%, Norway by 5%, and Denmark 3% of GDP. In contrast, the high-debt countries of Greece, Japan, France, Portugal, the U.K., and the U.S. all grew spending as a % of GDP since 1993.. The Vikings are cutting, the rest are debtifying.
Importantly the tax beta in Sweden is 1.0 and just above or below 1.0 for the other Viking states. This means that mostly everyone pays the same rate of income tax regardless of income levels. In North America and elsewhere the progressive tax structure means that almost half the population does not pay an income tax, and instead becomes only a client of the state receiving government money or using the socialized services without paying in. When this happens it becomes politically impossible to reduce government. Too many hands out and too many votes to lose. The culture shifts as well, from one of independence and action to a society in which the employment rate falls below 60 per cent and the multi-cult diversity bores are in power, and post-modern socialist theology firmly in place. The state and multiculturalism as God.
At least the Swedes and former Vikings are moving in the right direction by reducing the awful crushing weight of government and its attendant immorality. No one else is. Maybe there is hope for the Vikings yet.
Churchill and Newt. Men for the moment or....
Is Newt just your usual insider political cad....
Okay there are not completely comparable but analogies do exist and they came to mind whilst reading Max Hastings and his great history of Churchill during the war. Consider the political personalities involved. Newt the politician certainly does remind me somewhat of Churchill. Mercurial, egotistical to a fantastic degree, unprincipled in many ways, wayward, a lone wolf, sure of himself and his destiny.....Newt`s fecund mind resembles the `fertile expedients` issued forth by Churchill`s own calculations and methods. Churchill`s mind created ideas which gained force and form through his own erratic and uncoventional manner of analysis and thinking. Churchill`s idea formation was described by one Cabinet colleague during the 1920s as a snowball rolling down a large hill picking up speed and size as it went until it hit the bottom. In other words an almost unchangeble, unbroken path from formation to realization regardless of propriety, practicality or reality. Newt strikes me as the same.
I have read most of Newt`s books. They are well written – even if ghost-writers did most of the heavy lifting. His books on Health Care reform are for instance, very practicable and full of good ideas. Socialized health care is alive and well in the US and that is why the health system is a mess with government accounting for 55 % of all health spend and intervening in the rest. But would Newt the ultimate insider cad actually reform socialized health care or entitlements ? I have my doubts. Maybe Newt is just for Newt and in love, like Churchill was, with his own image, rhetoric and standing ? Peggy Noonan wrote an excellent article on the Newt and why many simply don`t trust him:
One way to view this is that he is so rich and varied as a character, as geniuses often are, that he contains worlds, multitudes. One senses that would be his way of looking at it. Another way to look at it: In a long career, one will shift views, adapt to circumstances, tack this way and that. Another way: He's philosophically unanchored, an unstable element. There are too many storms within him, and he seeks out external storms in order to equalize his own atmosphere. He's a trouble magnet, a starter of fights that need not be fought. He is the first modern potential president about whom there is too much information. What is striking is the extraordinary divide in opinion between those who know Gingrich and those who don't. Those who do are mostly not for him, and they were burning up the phone lines this week in Washington.
This analysis is appropriate but it probably underestimates the Newt. The man is smart. Intelligent men will understand that once in power, they need to change. The world will not be shaped to their views alone. The process is at least bi-directional.
Consider Winston. Churchill was roundly hated by the elite, the technocracy, even his own party when he assumed power in May 1940. His only support base was strangely enough the working class and Labour. No one predicted his transformation into the most transformative leader of the 20th century. Suddenly Churchill was sober, judicious, energetic, principled, and disciplined. Even his enemies were astonished at the skills and maturity he showed. Could the erratic genius of the Newt undergo a similar metamorphosis ? Or is Newt simply too ingeniously diabolical, too much of an insider cad and too massively corrupt to change ?
Only Newt knows. But one thing is obvious. As in May 1940, the Americans in 2012 will need a transformation and a leader for the moment. If not the Republic will go bankrupt and the USA will collapse. Its hegemony assured of failure. Maybe Newt is the man for the hour. In any event he would be vastly entertaining and a lot more skillful and intelligent than the incumbent.
Book Review, Nigel Cliff's 'Holy War'. Flawed but interesting.
Some issues, especially in the first third of the work.
“Entire Muslim societies had been built on slavery; the numbers were so vast that in the ninth century half a million slaves had rebelled in Iraq...” p. 89
“In an age that glorified conspicuous consumption, basking in a cloud of Eastern ambrosia was an essential ingredient of high living.....The profits at stake were immense...” p. 107
“With the downfall of the Mongols the overland routes became unsafe and eventually impassable, and virtually all traffic between the two Continents ceased.” p. 113
“...the Portuguese had broken the Muslim monopoly of the world's richest trading routes with astonishing speed. Yet Manuel's megalomaniacal ambition to sweep from east and west into the Holy Land had never been matched by a realistic strategy of the means adequate to achieve it.” p. 369
This is a very interesting book about how Christian Europe came to dominate the world political-economy. Such an ideal – that Christian Europe was superior to Islam and other Oriental mysticism's – surely sends the modern multi-tolerance cult, and the lovers of cultural Marxism into spitting rages of self-flagellating fits of hair pulling epilepsy. But truth and reality always do that to Lenin's useful idiot class. Cliff's book is extremely well-written and researched. It is an enjoyable 423 page romp through the history of what Cliff rightly terms the clash of civilization's and the extension of Islam's Holy War, appropriated by Christianity only after 400 years of Moslem Jihad against Christian territory to the key economic trade routes of the Indian Ocean.
The book becomes interesting about 1/3 of the way through, when Cliff actually begins describing the antecedent's to Da Gama's voyages and then gets on to the actual history-changing first and second voyages of the great Portuguese explorer. His history before this point – about 1/3 of the book – is full of inaccuracies about Europe and especially about Islam. The reader should probably ignore the first 100 pages. After that it gets better. The story-telling of Da Gama's voyages and the follow up establishment of trading colonies by Albuquerque is fast-paced, and well researched. Da Gama is revealed to be one of the most intrepid and intelligent of explorers in all of history. It is doubtful if the effeminate and self-loathing culture of Europe today, could have any hope of producing a Da Gama. The ear of European self-respect, and swaggering confidence ended after the 30 years war in 1648 resuscitated but never resurrected until the Great War of 1914.
There are however some issues with Cliff's book and his tendency to revisionism. Revisionist history is bunk and anytime an author engages in rewriting facts, it distorts both the prose and the message. An obvious first problem is that the Moslem Jihad against Buddhists and Hindus is not even mentioned for example. Somewhere between 50-100 million Indians were butchered by the various Moslem invasions, caliphs, emirs and tribes over a 1000 year period. The Moslem Jihad against non-Moslems was very much alive and well when the Portuguese arrived – a fact non unnoticed by the Europeans. One reason why the Christians were accepted by many non-Moslems in India and along the African coast was precisely this bloody fact.
A second issue is the portrayal of Christians as aggressor ignoramuses. The myth of Andalusia is also related ad nauseum, and anytime an author or reviewer invokes this post-modern fantasy, we have trouble on our hands. Dhimmitude, second class knave status, squatting on richer non-Moslem territories and lands; Moslem slave trading, generational pogroms, and incessant warfare against northern Spanish and French Christians, is not inter-cultural harmony - it is imperialism. Cliff also relates incidents in India, in which the Portuguese mistook the Sikhs, the Jains [a Moslem sect], and Hindus as Christians. While the NY Times and other reviewers of this book were locked in uncontrollable laughter and mock condescension over this experience, there was no possibility that a European in the 15th or 16th century would have been familiar with these mysticism's or cognisant of their existence. I doubt that a modern day welfare statist, or a NY Times reviewer, cast back 400 years, would have known the difference between sects and cults in the Indian subcontinent. The signal fact was that the Portuguese were clever enough to enlist non-Moslems as allies. If they mistook their oriental mysticism for something akin to a Christian sect, so what. This sounds to me like 'tolerance' and 'inter faith' dialogue so important to the modern multi-cult and NY Times.
This brings up a 3rd weakness. Though Cliff does enumerate the un-civilizational attributes of the Moslem and Arab traders around the Indian Ocean, and their violent antipathy to Europeans, he does not emphasize it enough. Da Gama's first voyage in 1498 was a fleet of small poorly armed ships. They were constantly attacked, harassed and thwarted by the Moslems. When Arabs and Moslems began butchering unarmed Portuguese civilians and merchants, left under treaty in trading enclaves a more militant response had to be expected. Bigger ships, more cannon, and more soldiers were dispatched from Portugal under Alberquerque and then again under Da Gama. The Moslem's had a monopoly on the trade between the Orient and Europe. They were quite unwilling to give this up. Islam the supremacist militant theology uber-alles was hardly going to cede the control of Indian Ocean trade to the Portuguese without recourse to violence and Jihad. This simply fact almost eludes Cliff. It is as if he blames the Europeans for the irruption of violence between the Christians and Moslems. This is fatuous.
The last issue with the book is a total neglect of the superiority in technology, sailing, navigation, military methods and in commerce, which allowed the Europeans to sail an impossibly long distance and conquer the Indian Ocean littoral and its key trade routes. Sailing 10 or 20 ships around the world is ruinously expensive and dangerous, yet the Europeans accomplished it - and did it so often that a chain of commands stretching from the Cape to China ensured European domination of world trade. How could a 'poor Continent', or state, possibly be 'so impoverished' that it could send men out to conquer the world by sailing vast distances to uncharted waters ? More so for a smallish country such as Portugal, which was the first 'Crusader state' to take the fight to the Moslems in the Indian Ocean. Such a claim or claims, makes little sense. The culture and wealth of Europe by the time of the counter-Jihad circa 1000 AD was already markedly superior to that of Islam. When the Europeans began to end their internal feuding through the development of strong nation states; economic exchange [especially after the 11th century]; and the formation of capital; they began to look for ways to counter the Moslem blockade of the Mediterranean, Islam's demise was assured.
This fact certainly offends the NY Times reviewer of this book who commented that the 'stupid Christians' found India 'by accident'. Such a statement is one of ignorance and a callous disregard for facts. The Portuguese as Cliff relates, had spent almost a century charting the African coast line all the way down to the Cape. They knew exactly what they were doing when Da Gama pushed around the Cape and headed towards the Orient. Not enough emphasis in my opinion, is given to the social-cultural and technological gap already apparent, between surging Europe and declining Islam and somnolent India. Instead Cliff, like all revisionists, somehow imagines a civilized and 'noble' Moslem Orient juxtaposed against the 'barbarians running around Europe'. He and the NY Times have never been to a Gothic Cathedral or witnessed 14th and 15th century European art I suppose.
Still, in spite of the above criticisms and cautions this is an enjoyable and educative read.
Ever distant Europe - fragmentation not unification
Colonialism vs. freedom and civilisation
Many eons ago in America vs. Europe the prediction of a politically unified European state was rejected. Why? Disintegration is a longer and more powerful trend than super-statism.
“Thus, there might be parallel processes of globalization and the continuing trends of fragmentation and disintegration. Historically political fragmentation often manifested by the quest for self-determination and the creation of new states, had been a trend with as much significance as the (parallel) forces of economic globalization....the stronger the state, the more capable they are in coping with the intricacies of the economic, political, social, technological, and cultural dimensions of globalization.” [p. 82]
Fragmentation is more relevant than super-statism. In this vein the EU won't survive – not in its current state. One should not expect GerFrancia colonialism within Europe. It is hard to imagine independent states, including powerful interests and politicians, giving up their autonomy to GerFrancia. One of the contradictory aspects of 'globalization' [whatever that word may mean and however weak in practice it actually is], is the singular fact that the individual nation state and its socialist-statist structures will actually become more powerful not less. This is however not true at the supra-national regional level. This is because false constructions such as the EU have little legitimacy, institutional power, or even local support.
The disaster of an unnatural and unnecessary currency area does indeed force the idea of a fiscal union and the abolishing of national borders. This is however mere colonialism. The 'core' colonizing the 'periphery' to use Marxist terminology. A cynic might believe that this was the purpose of the Euro currency union all along, as well as hiding debt and entrenching statism. Ever Closer Union, was the EU's motto. Ever greater socialism is the objective.
Fiscal union will not happen and even if it did it would only make things worse not better. The problem with Europe is statism, socialism, the multi-cult cult, Islamic demography and a European culture denuded of any of the concepts which make life interesting including faith; individuality, hard-work, experimentation, private charity and welfare, and higher culture. Europe is a post-modern disaster. Fiscally aligning post modern states into a post modern superstate will result in the annihilation of any hope of a future European Renaissance in faith, culture and the political-economy.
The nomenklatura which manages Europe, including the patriarch of the EU, M. Jacques Delors, are no doubt busy behind the scenes forcing a fiscal union to save their own reputations and historical legacies. Socialism always leads to bankruptcy. A historical lesson lost on the Uber cult of the EU. Delors blames the Germans for not wanting to guarantee an inflation – driven bankruptcy across the EU.....
"Mr Delors was head of the commission from 1985 to 1995 ....He became an object of ridicule in the eurosceptic press. He has admitted that when "Anglo-Saxons" warned a single central bank and currency without a single state would be inherently unstable"they had a point". ...Mr Delors insisted all European countries had to share the blame for the excessive borrowing by countries such as Italy and Greece that have brought the system to the brink of disaster.....However, the 86-year-old singled out Germany for its strict insistence that the European Central Bank must not support debt-stricken members for fear of fuelling inflation.”
Germany and by extension France, is to blame in the eyes of the Eurotechnocracy because GerFrancia won't simply print funny colored paper pieces which parade as money. Nothing like missing the entire point of why Europe is bankrupt.
Europe won't long survive this 'crisis' which has been brewing since 1971 when the gold standard was jettisoned in favor of unbridled Keynesian mysticism and inflationary monetary excess. Some opine that Europe's 'democracy' – which it does not have – will not exist in the future.
“The present eulogising of technocracy, of the power of economic technique unsullied by the mob, has always been the harbinger of dictatorship. We should remember how many Britons admired the efficiency of 1930s Germany and lauded Mussolini's trains running on time. Then, too, it was thought unimaginable that Europe would ever go to war. ...
Greece is now talking of a "German protectorate". The technocrat Italian prime minister, Mario Monti, warns his people that "the management of the crisis has suffered from a deficiency of government, and must be overcome with action at a European level". We need not reproduce the Greek magazine's cover of a swastika on the Acropolis to shudder at the phrases "deficiency of government" and "action at a European level". We heard those phrases before.”
Only after these immediate problems have been resolved can Europe take the longer term steps towards an ever closer political and fiscal union. Or not. These are tough decisions, and politicians might not come up with the right answers. If Europe’s solvency problems cannot be solved through fiscal policy, there is only one other option: inflating away the debts. This might seem a bridge too far for the ECB, but don’t expect them to allow the Eurozone to collapse either.
“Regardless of what happens, the EU as it we know it today will not survive the next year. The pressures to change are too strong. It will transform into one of three different entities. The first is a hard currency Europe. The second is a soft currency Europe. The third is that the euro zone will survive, but with a smaller number of participating countries clustered around Germany. This too will change the way Europe sees itself, governs itself, and deals with the outside world.”
Europe needs to reinvent itself. Local governance is always best. Citizens controlling their own fiscal and monetary policies is the only method to restrain despotism. A real culture which was developed during the medieval period of European development needs to be reborn. Otherwise Europe will become just another failed experiment in the history of failed socialist and communal regimes.
Statism. The inexorable rise of big nanny government since 1947.
Bankruptcy in all matters of life.
The cult of the state. A great article on the destruction of the modern nation state at the hands of unfettered and untutored statism. Bankruptcy not only of economics and politics, but of culture.
The following chart brings the numbers into focus (source). (In 1947, the population of the USA was 148 million. Today, it's 312 million -- an increase of 111%.)
1947
1972
2011
Growth 1947-2011
Gross Domestic Product
$ 2,700 billion
$ 7,520 billion
$ 15,100 billion
459%
Government Spending-Total
560 "
2,200 "
6,100 "
989%
Spending as % of GDP
20.7%
29.3%
40.5%
Government Social Spending*
$ 136 billion
$ 1,070 billion
$ 3,670 billion
2,598%
Social Spending as % of Total
24.3%
48.6%
60.2%
(*Pensions, Health Care, Education, and Welfare)
While the GDP has increased by a factor of 5.5, spending has increased by 10.5, or nearly double the GDP growth rate. This means that there is much less money available in the economy for job-creation, business-expansion and wealth-formation. If in 2011 total government spending had been at 33% of GDP, an additional $1,132 billion, or $1.13 trillion, would have remained in the private economy.
A public service: Donna LaFramboise and the GlobaloneyWarming Scam
Activism is not Science.
Highly Recommended: 'The Delinquent Teenager who was mistaken for the World's top Climate Expert'
There are many things wrong with the cult of science and scientism. Climate hysteria is not based on science but activism. We should not make the basic mistakes of believing scientists, nor of conflating activism with scientific enquiry. Rational free-will thought and rationality is assaulted and demeaned by the claim that science is always right, and that activist claims are now scientific fact. Science is never closed, rarely settled and oftentimes contentious.
As Churchill said, those who refuse to change their positions in the face of evidence suffer from the 'hobgoblins of little minds'. Climate fanatics are cult members who will deny reality and suspend science and rationality in their quest to remake the world. A trace chemical and natural gas necessary for life, which comprises a mere 0.4% of total gases is now a criminal element destroying the earth mother. It is ridiculous. At the heart of the GlobaloneyWarming complex and nexus is the Marxist lust for redistribution of wealth; the communal cult desire to control all aspects of life; the ability to tax and regulate ad-infinitum; and the destruction of real science, thinking and free-will. A global government is surely part of the charade. There are zero benefits for anyone, who is not feeding off of this cult scam, except perhaps a moral certitude, a purpose for living and the ability to posture and flick their hair in a show of superiority at various cocktail encounters. Mindlessness one could call it.
Enter Ms. Laframboise, a journalist and one of the few of this harlot-profession who actually does some reporting and analyzing. Journalism's role is now to cheer-lead various socialist-cultural Marxist causes. Gay sex; Islam is peace; GlobaloneyWarming; economic socialism; Great Man-Obama worship; the illegality and criminality of European culture [and of whites in general] etc. etc. Whatever the mainstream media reports the opposite is usually true. So it goes with the ClimateBaloney hysteria.
This book should be read by anyone who still values the ability to think and rationalize. Do humans really know anything about climate? Of the one million variables in climate is a natural occurring trace chemical needed by flora really causing hurricanes and climate variations ? Who are these 'scientists' ? Are activists on the IPCC-UN really scientists ? Where are the data models, logic, algorithms, testing, source information, assumptions and mathematics behind the UN's models ? Why aren't they available for review ? Is a cult which tells you that you are too stupid to understand climate to be trusted ? Aren't claims to kill off 30% of humans premised on secret meetings, database models, and outputs a little extreme ?
This book will make you angry and upset. You will learn that the entire IPCC process is a sham; that the activist acolytes who pretend to be scientists hold you in utter contempt; that the UN believes that the mass of humanity is stupid; and that the global powers behind the cult movement want to empty northern 'richer' country treasuries of some $37 Trillion and transfer the guilt money to the 'poorer' states for various reasons – none of them having anything to do with science.
Activism is now called science:
28 out of 44 chapters (two-thirds) included at least one individual affiliated with the WWF
100% of the WG2 chapters included at least 1 WWF affiliated scientist
15 out of 44 chapters (one-third) were led (coordinating lead authors) by WWF-affiliated scientists
It is political:
“Honestly. The IPCC was established by politicians, its experts are selected by politicians, and its conclusions are negotiated by politicians. A predetermined political agenda has been part of the landscape for the past 20 years. For [anyone] to whine that people who disagree with the IPCC are motivated by politics is the equivalent of someone who has lived by the sword complaining that they might die by it.”
“Their overarching message has been that this doesn’t touch the science, that the basic premise that human beings are altering the climate in dangerous ways remains unchallenged. I don’t know whether to laugh or cry when I hear this argument. What it conveniently ignores is that we’ve been told for years that the reason we should believe in human-caused climate change is because an elaborate and reliable IPCC process had examined matters and pronounced it a genuine and pressing problem. . . We’ve been urged to believe in the end result because the IPCC’s process is itself trustworthy.”
“What does all this tell us? It says the IPCC process is broken. It says the verdict that humans are responsible for causing dangerous climate change cannot stand. A new trial must be held.”
“The real moral of this story is that scientists are merely human. They can be as short-sighted and as political and as dishonorable as the rest of us.”
There is no peer review:
“What goes on at the IPCC is not peer review as that term is normally understood . . . To sum up, the IPCC is inordinately proud of its review process. It expects us to be impressed by how many people are involved and by how many comments it receives and addresses. But this process is fatally flawed. It is not independent. It is easily short-circuited and circumvented. Nothing about it measures up to academic peer review.”
Regarding the impact of the IAC review of the IPCC: “Pachauri lingers, the flagging rule [of non peer reviewed papers] has vanished, and real action on conflict-of-interest has been pushed well into the future. [While the IPCC has established the new Executive Committee] there’s just one problem. While the IAC report said it should contain three independent voices, including people from outside the climate community, the IPCC thumbed its nose at that advice . . . instead gave four of its fulltime staff members seats at the table.”
IPCC does not allow dissent:
“It would appear that the relationship the IPCC has with its expert reviewers borders on the abusive. First it asks these people to volunteer their time in good faith. Then it gives its authors the right to dismiss their input with nothing more than a single word: ”rejected.” While expert reviewers are expected to comply with the IPCC’s deadlines, this organization feels no need to respect such deadlines itself. Instead, it nonchalantly adds in, after the fact, arguments and source materials these reviewers had no opportunity to asses.”
“People who know people at the IPCC have their yet-to-be-published work taken into account, but researchers without these sorts of connections are out of luck.”
“But a problem surely arises when journals are run by IPCC insiders themselves.”
IPCC activists writing in Journals then using their own work as 'proof':
“This is a circular, incestuous process. Scientists make decisions as journal editors about what qualifies as peer-reviewed literature. They then cite the same papers they themselves played midwife to while serving as IPCC authors.”
“What’s happened here is that the cart was put before the horse. The UN didn’t wait around for climate science to mature. They’d already decided that human-generated emissions were dangerous. Back in 1992, 154 nations endorsed this premature conclusion when they became signatories to the UNFCCC. . . The fourth edition of the Climate Bible, which contains the strongest yet still speculative and qualified language, appeared 15 years later.”
“One day the IPCC may come to be seen as a textbook case of how badly things can go wrong when political amateurs are recruited and manipulated by UN-grade political operatives.”
[The] IPCC doesn’t write scientific reports for their own sake. Those scientists are there for a purpose. That purpose is to produce material useful to the UNFCCC.
Pachauri the IPCC chief since 2002 is an activist:
“I am not going to rest easy until I have articulated in every possible form the need to bring about major structural changes in economic growth and development. That’s the real issue. Climate change is just a part of it.”
“A grotesque aspect of the malaria issue is that anyone who truly cares about this disease need not concern themselves with global warming. A world that can’t rouse itself to do more about today’s malaria victims surely has no business using theoretical, sometime-in-the-future victims as ammunition in the climate debate.”
“The claim that 20-30% of the Earth’s species are at risk of extinction has been a hallmark of Pachauri’s speeches . . . [That chapter] depends almost entirely on a single, highly questionable piece of research. . . five out of 10 of this chapter’s most senior personnel have a formal documented link to the World Wildlife Fund. There is no way to know which sections of this IPCC chapter represent the opinions of scientists who’ve jumped into bed with the WWF and which sections are . . . scientifically sound.”
Hockey Stick is junk:
“The essential point here is that the IPCC aggressively promoted a graph that had been produced by a young scientist who’d just been awarded his Ph.D. Even though that graph overturned decades of scholarship, even though it negated a widespread consensus about what the temperature record of the past 1,000 years looked like, the IPCC didn’t bother to verify its accuracy.”
There is much much more that I will post later.
The take away is this. The IPCC-UN ClimateBaloney is not premised on science. There is no human induced GlobaloneyWarming for a whole variety of reasons, one being that there are 1 million variables in 'climate' and models can't possible 'model' that complexity. Ask anyone in technology. It is an activist agenda, sold by humans who have every vested interest in its success. There is money, power, reputations, guaranteed funding and fame all at stake. Globaloneywarming is a human created hysteria, assaulting rationality, free-will and civilisation. Like other cults – National Socialism, Islam, Great Man worship – it is a sick diabolical demonic theology, ultimately dedicated to destroying the human.
EUtopia - ever closer union and bankruptcy
Erasing national boundaries won't solve anything.
Bankruptcy is bankruptcy. There is no magical cure. You can't print money forever. Issuing bonds against escalating interest rates is a short term, not a long term method of cash flow sustenance. Rhetoric and torturing words into meaningless phrases and platitudes will only soothe 'the market' for so long. Europe owes 5-8 times its economic weight in total liabilities. The game is up. So what now?
Ever closer Continental Communism. The communal project which was always a political idea, will use the issue of bankruptcy to erase European national identities. Charlemagne's central European empire married to that of the Hapsburg and perhaps the Roman. The main thrust of the EU has always been not-so-benign socialist tyranny. Bankruptcy is a means to an end.
"Where is it leading? ...Germany is pushing to change the EU treaty. They want the ability to sue in the
European Court of Justice any countries that break EU budget rules. All of this is a follow up to a proposal made by the European Commission last Wednesday. They want the power to approve EU zone national budgets–before they are submitted to the national parliaments.
What does it mean? At the very least it means that economic decisions made by national parliaments will be rendered meaningless. They either get it “right,” or they get sued. ...That may be the entire point of this latest exercise. Certain nations (read Greece and Italy at the present time) may be faced with a “lesser of two evils” choice: an effective loss of national sovereignty, but the ability to continue borrowing from the ECB, or independence–and national bankruptcy.
A fiscal merger of bankrupted states including the parlous finances of France and Germany won't save the Euro. It will save the stock markets for a while which will rise on the 'certain knowledge' that Europe has 'resolved its crisis'. Fiscal union of EU states is akin to putting blind destitute drunks together as a club of savers. A few pennies clang into the pot to be mismanaged by the same cast of unscrupulous corrupt technocratic characters who feel they rule the world and deserve divine-right rule over the untrodden, black-faced, dirty masses.
So the great escape for Europe is to set up an off the balance fund a la Enron; beg the Brazilians and Chinese to buy some bonds; leverage up another $ 1 Trillion in Euro debt; and hope that 'private' capital will come back. Pray tell what solutions are resolving the systemic liabilities of Old Europe. What ideas are being implemented to lessen ossified corrupted markets, capital restrictions, labor inflexibility, too much spending, and a culture against all change and reform?
No reforms of course. The Euro will be a ZEuro. The details will be messy but the end result is assured.
An Ice Age is more likely than GlobaloneyWarming inspired 'climate change'....whatever that means. A good site on the obvious. Every 10-15.000 years there is a cooling-Ice Age cycle. We are due.
Canadian Senate hearing on ClimateBaloney. 4 critics in lay language lay bare the falsities of the cult.
The four submissions on December 15th to the Senate Committee by Drs. Clark, McKitrick, Veizer and Patterson) have been reformatted with all the slides by Tom Harris of ICSC. As Dr. Clark says of his presentation, it is his climate course packaged into ten minutes and for a lay audience.
WeatherChannel.com founder wants to sue High Priest L Ron Gore for fraud.
---
Co2 follows climate. It always has. It always will. How can a derivative be a causation ? How scientific.
---
ClimateBaloney. UK scientist says the obvious - Co2 has no impact at all on climate.
Rt.com Ottawa has pulled out of the 1997 anti-global warming Kyoto Protocol, saying the treaty is “not working.” Piers Corbyn, the founder of the Weather Action Foundation, says Canada is doing the right thing.
According to Corbyn, the solar activity – not carbon dioxide – is behind climate change.
“I don’t believe in man-made climate change because there is no evidence for it. In fact, carbon dioxide is controlled by world temperatures rather than the other way around,” he told RT. “Climate change is going on, and the key aspects of the big, very extreme events that happened in the last 18 months were predicted by us, the Weather Action, using solar activity.
“Carbon dioxide has zero effect, I repeat: zero effect, no effect whatsoever.”
Corbyn believes that the Kyoto protocol is based on what appears to be a semi-fraudulent scheme aimed at wasting public funds which could otherwise have a better use.
---
GlobaloneyWarming World Government via the UN. Managing the weather, ah the hubris of man ! Lord Monckton on the Neo-Mayan and Incan fetish for commanding and controlling the weather. How modern. How scientific.
The temperature target: At Copenhagen and Cancun, the states parties to the Convention arrogated to themselves the power - previously safe in the hands of Divine Providence - to alter the weather in such a way as to prevent global mean surface temperature from rising by more than 2 C above the “pre-industrial” level. They did not even say what they meant by “pre-industrial”. From 1695-1745 temperatures in central England, quite a good proxy for global temperatures, rose by 2.2 C, with about another 0.8 C since then, making 3 C in all. The previous temperature target, therefore, was already absurd. Yet the new, improved, madder target is to keep global temperatures either “1 C” or “well below 1.5 C” above “pre-industrial levels” - i.e., well below half of the temperature increase that has already occurred since the pre-industrial era. The twittering states parties are committing themselves, in effect, to reducing today’s global temperatures by getting on for 2 C. This is madness. Throughout pre-history, the governing class - Druids or Pharaohs or Mayans or Incas - thought they could replace their Creator and command the weather.......
But the UN’s bureaucrats will actually get all or nearly all the money, and will decide how to allocate what minuscule fraction they have not already spent on themselves. As a senior UN diplomat told me last year, “The UN exists for only one purpose: to get more money. That, and that alone, is the reason why it takes such an interest in climate change.”
---
Goal of GlobaloneyWarming is world government. That much is obvious given the nature of this cult and its pagan irrationality fused with Communism.
"the U.N. would be granted taxing authority that will effectively transform its role of governance to “government” and preempt our national sovereignty. This falls in line with proposals prepared by a 20-member “High-Level Advisory Group on Climate Change Financing” assembled by U.N. Secretary-General Ban ki-Moon for the purpose of calling upon nations “to fundamentally transform the global economy-based on low-carbon, clean energy resources.” Resulting recommendations are to institute:
a carbon tax
a tax on international aviation and shipping
a financial transaction tax
a wire tax for producing electricity
redirection of 100% of all fossil fuel subsidies for international climate action."
Full PDF of A-Z Climate Reality Check.
“Climate Depot’s new A-Z report reveals that the great man-made global warming catastrophe that was predicted - has been cancelled.” Morano said. “The scientific reality is that on virtually every claim - from A-Z - the claims of the promoters of man-made climate fears are failing and in many instances going in the opposite direction. The global warming movement is suffering the scientific death of a thousand cuts. This Climate Depot special report categorizes and indexes the full range of climate developments in a handy A-Z reference guide from the Antarctic to Polar Bears to Mount Kilimanjaro to Sea Levels to Global temperatures to hurricanes and tornados.”
Nobel Prize nominee, Leon Louw, Executive Director of South Africa’s Free Market Institute, will discuss the devastating impact climate policy has had on the economies of both the developed and developing world and the crippling hindrance it poses to the poor.
South African nuclear physicist Dr. Kelvin Kemm will discuss global warming policy providing a unique South African analysis.
Lord Christopher Monckton, freshly rested from his parachute jump to call attention to Climategate 2.0, will explain exactly why it would be a mistake to adopt a new treaty in Durban along the lines of the failed Kyoto Protocol.
“Secretary Figueres is telling the COP that she can obtain a new commitment period in Durban.” Said CFACT Executive Director Craig Rucker. “After she hears what Senator Inhofe has to say, she may want to reevaluate her wishful thinking.”
Go to www.CLIMATEDEPOT.com for details on Climategate 2.0. More information on CFACT’s mission to Durban at www.CFACT.tv. Also at www.CFACT.org, & www.CFACT.eu.
While the theory of heat death of the universe remains a valid scientific hypothesis, the theory of global warming has been found to be a false illusion due to technical errors. Physics analysis of carbon dioxide, oxygen and nitrogen molecules shows carbon dioxide is cooler than, gains heat by molecular collision from, and dissipates heat by radiation for nitrogen and oxygen gases.
CO2 is a cooling agent for the atmosphere; nitrogen and oxygen gases secure the Earth a warm liveable near surface atmosphere. In the thermosphere where CO2 is sorted out due to heavier molecular weight, the temperature of residual air is well above 100C, goes higher and higher with altitude reaching a value exceed 1000C.
The 52-year-old minister has been criticised for his purchase of the luxury home, as his portfolio includes encouraging homeowners to cut their energy use. In a speech last September, he said: ‘We have pledged to be the greenest government ever. We must lead by example. Leadership from government departments is something we cannot – and will not – shirk.
‘We are not asking others to do things we will not do ourselves.’
Labour MP John Robertson, who is on the Energy and Climate Change Committee, said last night: ‘This is totally out of touch. As a minister telling people to turn down their heating, this will spark fury. There are a lot of pensioners in my constituency who find it hard to heat one room, let alone 20 rooms.’
Mr Hendry, the Conservative MP for Wealden in Sussex, and wife Sallie already own Wilderness Farm, a luxurious converted farmhouse which they bought in his constituency for £750,000 in 2002.
They are believed to have sold their London home for £4.75million this March.
Climate Gate 2.0 - video on McIntyre who helped to expose the hockey-stick stupidity. The IPCC is a joke. Shut it down. McIntyre puts the latest posting of 5.000 emails in context of what was revealed 2 years ago.
---
Climate Gate and 'the cause'. You know science is all about 'causes'. Cause and effect that is. It appears that flinty eyed activism is now 'science'.....Hilarious satire on the 'Cause'. "Just when you thought it was safe to 'hide the decline'.."
A new batch of emails purportedly stolen from the servers at the University of East Anglia were posted online Tuesday, echoing the 2009 data breach dubbed "Climategate" that turned the world's attention to the internal debates among scientists hoping to determine whether man's actions are warming the planet.
Excerpts from the emails posted on climate skeptic websites are certainly eye-opening:
<1939> Thorne/MetO: Observations do not show rising temperatures throughout the tropical troposphere unless you accept one single study and approach and discount a wealth of others. This is just downright dangerous. We need to communicate the uncertainty and be honest.
<3066> Thorne: I also think the science is being manipulated to put a political spin on it, which for all our sakes might not be too clever in the long run.
<4755> Overpeck: The trick may be to decide on the main message and use that to guid[e] what’s included and what is left out
---
NCDC data showing that summers are cooler, winters are getting colder. Another Ice Age on the way?
Climatebaloney:
---
---
Canada: $9 billion allocated to GHG reduction. Auditor General - $ 6 billion worth of projects will have no impact whatsoever on GHG reduction......
We found that, as of November 2010, more than $9-billion had been allocated among seven departments to the measures listed in the plans.We also found that several of these measures, allocated approximately $5.9-billion, are not expected to achieve any GHG emission reductions during the Kyoto Protocol commitment period For the measures that did report financial information in the 2010 plan, we found the following:
The funding levels indicated in the plans were not consistent with the funding information provided to us directly by department officials or indicated in other departmental reports for about half of these measures. This was most often due to differing administrative and reporting procedures across measures and among departments.
.......
GlobaloneyScamming.
---
Another Scientist dissents and leaves the Eco-cult. Apostasy? Punishable by death ?
Another respected scientisttook a standin the worldwide debate over the source and importance of climate change. Last week, Dr. Ivar Giaever, professor emeritus at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, professor at large at the University of Oslo and a 1973 winner of the Nobel Prize in physics, resigned from theAmerican Physical Society(APS) in protest over the society’s rigid stance on climate change.
A part of theofficial APS statementwith regard to global warming states that the “evidence is incontrovertible” that human activities have led to rising global temperatures through increased emissions of carbon dioxide. Like many scientists in a variety of disciplines, Giaever was offended by the implication that the science is settled and no further research or discussion about the issue is needed.
“In the APS it is ok to discuss whether the mass of a proton changes over time and how a multi-universe behaves, but the evidence of global warming is incontrovertible?” Giaever said in an e-mail to Kate Kirby, executive officer of APS. “The claim…is that the temperature has changed from ~288.0 to ~288.8 degree Kelvin in about 150 years, which (if true) means to me is that the temperature has been amazingly stable, and both human health and happiness have definitely improved in this ‘warming’ period.”
---
The Eco Fascist blogosphere is enraged by the obvious as only hinted at by a CERN study. Co2 has about as much impact on climate as bad hair cuts have.
"By comparison, the CERN team found human CO2 emissions have little or no impact, or at the very least their impact has been greatly overestimated in the computer models global-warming alarmists rely on to show dangerous future climate." [Lorne Gunter in the Nat Post]
Be direct Lorne you can do it. Co2 has no impact on climate. Period. It lags climate - it is a derivative of climate not a factor in its origination.
Many of us have spent 10 years ridiculing the idea that Co2 causes anything. The math is pretty simply. Humans emit 5% of said substance. It constitutes 1% of total gases in the atmosphere. Even L Ron Gore and Zucchini can do the math - with the aid of aides with supercomputers. To suggest that such a marginal substance has any impact over our climate, or weather is about as relevant as saying that Lady Gaga inspires Moslem terrorism.
Eco fascism is a cult of irrationality and totality. I suppose this is why so many need it. They feel worthless without a higher neo pagan cause. Pity them.
---
It is hard to be as dumb as L Ron Gore. But every cult needs its leader.....
With all ofMr. Gore’s voiced confidence in his hypothesis, why won’t he debate the issue if he is certain that “the science is settled”? Here’s why: Fifteen of his major points in his 2006 film, “An Inconvenient Truth,” have been shown to be false, misleading or gross exaggerations. As long as many blindly follow him despite all of this, his best strategy is to remain off the debate circuit.
The problem withMr. Gore’s new pseudo-scientific dogma is, of course, what’s at stake. Lenny Bruce was a comedian.Mr. Goreisn’t a comedian, as funny as he may appear. For some odd reason people still listen to him and he commands influence over national and global public policy. If he has his way, his man-made global warming agenda will melt our economy, our standard of living and even our national security.
Right now, the only thing global warming is melting isAl Gore’s brain.
---
Climate-Change idiots blame Hurricane Irene on GlobaloneyWarming. Note to the Eco cult. First Co2 does not trap anything - it is 1% of atmospheric gases. Second, if the earth was a Greenhouse there would be no life on the planet. Duh.
On Thursday, climate alarmistBill McKibbenwrote, “Irene’s got a middle name, and it’s Global Warming.” His thesis is that warmer ocean temperatures mean hurricanes will hold more moisture and travel farther north than they have in the past, resulting in more devastation. Combine this with melting Arctic ice, record floods and record droughts, and the “global weirding” model is complete.
If anything is getting weirder, it’s the arguments of the climate-change crowd. They are increasingly unnerved by the collapse of their belief system, as was illustrated byAl Gore’s emotional meltdown at anAspen Institutespeech earlier this month. Warmists no longer can hold the public’s attention with cute pictures of polar bears and earnest stories of looming long-term catastrophes. They need deadly impact now. Thus, every natural disaster, be it a flood, a drought, an earthquake, a tsunami, a tornado, a hurricane, a blizzard, a heatwave or even a cold snap, is somehow tied to their pet theory.
Eco cult persists in lying about Antarctica to prove GlobaloneyWarming...using non-science and non-experts (MSNBC, L Ron Gore, David Zucchini, the BBC, The UN, The Koran....).
Great peer reviewed science here with conclusions:
(1) For the past two decades at least, and possibly for the past seven decades, the Earth’s true surface air temperature has likely experienced no net change;
(2) there should have been a sizable CO2-induced increase in atmospheric radiative forcing during that time, but there wasn’t. That must mean that a suite of compensatory feedbacks overwhelmed the “greenhouse” impetus for warming; implying, therefore,
(3) that the planet will not warm from any man-produced increases in CO2; indicating
(4) any increases in temperature will likely fit the global trend of +0.048°C/decade, that is, about 0.5°C this century— the rate of warming that has existed since the Little Ice Age, centered around 1750 in Europe, South America, and China; suggesting
(5) that the heat storage in the upper ocean takes place in the upper 100 meters, and the magnitude provides a rise in temperature at those depths of 0.5°C in the past 50 years (in those parts of the ocean for which we have data);
(6) this global warming (and cooling) of the ocean occurs on biennial, ENSO, decadal and interdecadal period scales; thence,
(7) the ocean thermal changes on centennial-period scales, which appear as the warming trend through the past 50 to 100 years, can be explained by means of intrinsic internal modes of the Earth going through their normal cycle of warming and cooling, independent of both radiative and anthropogenic influences.
---
Big surprise. Venice is not beneath the waves yet as predicted by the Useless Nations IPCC and various Warmongers such as L Ron Gore.
In a paper published in the journal Climate Change, Alberto Troccoli, of the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization in Australia, and scientists in the U.K. and Italy say that their global climate simulations suggest "a decrease in extreme tides" as sea levels rise. Storm surges will also be fewer in the Northern Adriatic where Venice is situated. The conclusion is that by the end of the 21st century "tidal flooding events might not be exacerbated ... with potentially beneficial consequences for the conservation of the city."
---
US Supreme Court hands the EcoFascists a stunning defeat. 8-0 vote against labeling Co2 a toxin. A natural chemical necessary for life and 95 % of which is emitted by the Earth Mother....the Eco rejects want us to destroy the modern world because such a chemical which follows climate by 800 years is of course 'changing the climate'. Yeah okay. That is science alright.
The justices of the United States Supreme Court this week became the world’s most august global warming sceptics. Not by virtue of their legal reasoning – the global warming case they decided turned on a technical legal issue — but in their surprising commentary. Global warming is by no means a settled issue, they made clear, suggesting it would be foolhardy to assume it was.
“The court, we caution, endorses no particular view of the complicated issues related to carbon-dioxide emissions and climate change,” reads the 8-0 decision, delivered by the court’s acclaimed liberal, Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg.
The court decision noted that the Environmental Protection Agency itself had “Acknowledg[ed] that not all scientists agreed on the causes and consequences of the rise in global temperatures,” before suggesting readers consult “views opposing” the conventional wisdom. Specifically, the justices’ recommended reading was a superb profile of Princeton’s Freeman Dyson, perhaps America’s most respected scientist, written in the New York Times Magazine, March 29, 2009.
Dyson, an unabashed skeptic, believes that carbon dioxide, rather than being harmful, is both necessary and desirable, arguing that “increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide produce many beneficial effects upon the natural plant and animal environments of the Earth.”
Somewhat in the same vein, Justice Ginsburg notes carbon dioxide is necessary and ubiquitous, and thus shouldn’t be the target of indiscriminate attacks. “After all, we each emit carbon dioxide merely by breathing,” she notes, repeating a point that Dyson couldn’t have said better himself.
To see exactly what the Supreme Court said in its remarkable American Electric Power v. Connecticut decision, click here.
Greenist Math: Cap +Trade = higher hydro costs and bankruptcy. Governments will drive up electricity prices and redistribute money to reward the Greenist Technology nexus. More social engineering hard at work which is going to punish the poor the most. The EU is experiencing the pain which will soon spread to North America. And we call this an 'Enlightened Age' of reason? Really.
British utility giant Scottish Electric announced that the gas and electricity bills of five million customers would go up by a whopping 19 and 10 percent respectively, beginning August first. Six other major power providers in Britain are expected to follow suit. The move follows a 30 percent increase in the wholesale costs of energy since last November, and will push average annual household costs for fuel as high as $2050, the highest level ever recorded. Yet rising wholesale costs are only half the story.
.....Mr. Jack then said something that should sound distressingly familiar to Americans. “The rising burden of non-energy costs faced by Britain’s energy suppliers–including the cost of meeting government environmental and social programs and the cost of distributing electricity on the national grid–has also placed further upward pressure on energy bills.”
What Mr. Jack is referring to is government regulations which essentially decide who the “winners” and “losers” are in the energy game. These regulations are designed to intentionally drive up prices, and then give the extra money to the owners of renewable power generators. One of these regulations is called a Feed-in-Tariff (FIT) in which an inflated price is paid to the owners of massive wind farms or those who put rooftop solar panels on their houses. This cost is then added onto everyone’s electric bills. Since those who can afford wind farms or solar panels tend to be people who are better off economically, the net result is that poorer Brits are subsidizing the power consumption of those who are better off. (Front Page)
DDT saves human lives - which is why the Green cult hates it so much. 30 million dead Africans, denied the use of DDT by Western powers, attest to the viciousness of the Greenie menace.
JunkScience.com In April 1972, after seven months of testimony, EPA Administrative Law Judge Edmund Sweeney stated that “DDT is not a carcinogenic hazard to man. … The uses of DDT under the regulations involved here do not have a deleterious effect on freshwater fish, estuarine organisms, wild birds, or other wildlife. … The evidence in this proceeding supports the conclusion that there is a present need for the essential uses of DDT.”
Two months later, EPA head [and Environmental Defense Fund member/fundraiser] William Ruckelshaus – who had never attended a single day’s session in the seven months of EPA hearings, and who admittedly had not even read the transcript of the hearings – overturned Judge Sweeney’s decision. Ruckelshaus declared that DDT was a “potential human carcinogen” and banned it for virtually all uses.
100 things you should know about DDT- Discovered by accident, DDT became one of the greatest public health tools of the 20th century. Overuse harmed its efficacy — and made it politically unpopular.
New York Times; The Gas is Greener. How much space do the Greenist technologies eat up and destroy? And why does anyone think that the Greenie's plan for world domination centered around ClimateBaloney or Greenie Tech is Mother Earth friendly?
But there’s the rub: while energy sources like sunlight and wind are free and naturally replenished, converting them into large quantities of electricity requires vast amounts of natural resources — most notably, land. Even a cursory look at these costs exposes the deep contradictions in the renewable energy movement.
Consider California’s new mandate. The state’s peak electricity demand is about 52,000 megawatts. Meeting the one-third target will require (if you oversimplify a bit) about 17,000 megawatts of renewable energy capacity. Let’s assume that California will get half of that capacity from solar and half from wind. Most of its large-scale solar electricity production will presumably come from projects like the $2 billionIvanpah solar plant, which is now under construction in the Mojave Desert in southern California. When completed, Ivanpah, which aims to provide 370 megawatts of solar generation capacity, will cover 3,600 acres — about five and a half square miles.
The math is simple: to have 8,500 megawatts of solar capacity, California would need at least 23 projects the size of Ivanpah, covering about 129 square miles, an area more than five times as large as Manhattan. While there’s plenty of land in the Mojave, projects as big as Ivanpah raise environmental concerns. In April, the federal Bureau of Land Management ordered a halt to construction on part of the facility out of concern for the desert tortoise, which is protected under the Endangered Species Act.
Wind energyprojects require even more land. The Roscoe wind farm in Texas, which has a capacity of 781.5 megawatts, covers about 154 square miles. Again, the math is straightforward: to have 8,500 megawatts of wind generation capacity, California would likely need to set aside an area equivalent to more than 70 Manhattans. Apart from the impact on the environment itself, few if any people could live on the land because of the noise (and the infrasound, which is inaudible to most humans but potentially harmful) produced by the turbines.
---
Powerpoint slide pres on the main talking points against GlobaloneyWarming. It is only about 1500 times more intelligent than the buffoon L Ron Gore's grade 9 science project which he turned into a 'film'......Co2 follows climate by 800 years, and Mother Earth emits most of it....but hey who needs science when you have a cult.......
--
More Co2 would save the Amazon. Since the Earth Mother emits 96% of Co2 maybe we should kill her to bring down 'emissions' ? But wouldn't that mean killing off the Amazon ? Hmm.
The Amazon Forest – often called the lungs of the Earth – suffered a large drought in 2005 and an even larger one in 2010, devastating populations of river dolphins and other species and leading many climate scientists to fear the worst. “Having two events of this magnitude in such close succession is extremely unusual, but is unfortunately consistent with those climate models that project a grim future for Amazonia,” said Simon Lewis, from the University of Leeds, co-author of “The 2010 Amazon Drought,” a paper published in Science in February of this year.
Today, just three months after that dire outlook, the doom and gloom is lifting. The Amazon and its species have made a dramatic comeback, so much so that the river populations of dolphins now exceed pre-dought levels, even in one of the hardest hit drought areas.
A major concern involves the ability of the Amazon’s old-growth forest to survive the stress of low water levels. Will trees recover from the extreme shock of the drought, and continue to grow, or will the die off, releasing their great stores of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere, as many fear?
The answer may lie partly in a 2009 study of the 2005 drought conducted by 66 scientists at Leeds that found the Amazon’s trees, even at an advanced age, to be vigorous in growth and resilient to drought. What could possibly explain these twin capabilities?
The unusually rich concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, say scientists who have studied the Amazon for decades. Carbon dioxide reduces the rate at which trees respire, letting them survive low water conditions. And carbon dioxide provides the carbon that trees need to take in and grow.
---
UN changes its bad 2010 prediction of 50 million Climate Refugees to 2020. They have such a lot of credibility don't they? But wait, Prince Charles has stated emphatically that the world will end thanks to GlobaloneyWarming in July of 2017. So who is right? Seems that the UN is a tad optimistic....Notice how the Muslim invasion of Europe is equated to ClimateChange etc. etc.
WASHINGTON — Fifty million "environmental refugees" will flood into the global north by 2020, fleeing food shortages sparked by climate change, experts warned at a major science conference that ended here Monday.
"In 2020, the UN has projected that we will have 50 million environmental refugees," University of California, Los Angeles professor Cristina Tirado said at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS).
"When people are not living in sustainable conditions, they migrate," she continued, outlining with the other speakers how climate change is impacting both food security and food safety, or the amount of food available and the healthfulness of that food.
Southern Europe is already seeing a sharp increase in what has long been a slow but steady flow of migrants from Africa, many of whom risk their lives to cross the Strait of Gibraltar into Spain from Morocco or sail in makeshift vessels to Italy from Libya and Tunisia.
The flow recently grew to a flood after a month of protests in Tunisia, set off by food shortages and widespread unemployment and poverty, brought down the government of longtime ruler Zine El Abidine Ben Ali, said Michigan State University professor Ewen Todd, who predicted there will be more of the same.
---
New solar reconstruction paper makes it clear that the Sun and solar radiation which are not modelled by the IPCC or CRU, is the main driver of 'climate change'.
Abstract
Context. The variable Sun is the most likely candidate for the natural forcing of past climate changes on time scales of 50 to 1000 years. Evidence for this understanding is that the terrestrial climate correlates positively with the solar activity. During the past 10 000 years, the Sun has experienced the substantial variations in activity and there have been numerous attempts to reconstruct solar irradiance. While there is general agreement on how solar forcing varied during the last several hundred years – all reconstructions are proportional to the solar activity – there is scientific controversy on the magnitude of solar forcing. Aims. We present a reconstruction of the total and spectral solar irradiance covering 130 nm–10 μm from 1610 to the present with an annual resolution and for the Holocene with a 22-year resolution. Methods. We assume that the minimum state of the quiet Sun in time corresponds to the observed quietest area on the present Sun. Then we use available long-term proxies of the solar activity, which are 10Be isotope concentrations in ice cores and 22-year smoothed neutron monitor data, to interpolate between the present quiet Sun and the minimum state of the quiet Sun. This determines the long-term trend in the solar variability, which is then superposed with the 11-year activity cycle calculated from the sunspot number. The time-dependent solar spectral irradiance from about 7000 BC to the present is then derived using a state-of-the-art radiation code.
Conclusions
We present a new technique to reconstruct total and spectral solar irradiance over the Holocene. We obtained a large historical solar forcing between the Maunder minimum and the present, as well as a significant increase in solar irradiance in the first half ofthe twentieth-century. Our value of the historical solar forcing is remarkably larger than other estimations published in the recent literature.
---
McIntrye on hiding the decline. Temperatures are not global and they have nothing to do with Co2. Only the Green Nazis and the Eco-cult believe so. Show us some real science which proves GlobaloneyWarming.
In my opinion, locating the earliest known example of “hide the decline’ in Jones et al 1999 (Rev Geophys) places hide the decline in a remarkable new light. I think that it’s fair to say that most of us have assumed that “hide the decline” originated with Mann or Briffa. However, it seems to me that this new evidence suggests that the lead author of Jones et al 1999, Phil Jones himself, may have been responsible for CRU’s decision to hide the decline in the spaghetti graph comparisons – initially Jones et al 1999 Figure 6, later, as we all know, IPCC TAR Fig 2.20.
.....To my knowledge, “hide the decline”, as a technique, was used in every subsequent spaghetti graph using the Briffa reconstruction except one – the Zero Order Draft of IPCC TAR presented to the Lead Authors in Arusha in September 1999. This spaghetti graph – which didn’t hide the decline – went over like a lead balloon with IPCC – thus the busy emails of September 1999, which I’ve previously discussed. The IPCC spaghetti graph in its First Order Draft (October 1999) adopted a hide-the-decline strategy modeled on the techniques “pioneered” in Jones et al 1999 and Briffa and Osborn 1999 (though Mann varied the method somewhat.)
To my knowledge, “hide the decline”, as a technique, was used in every subsequent spaghetti graph using the Briffa reconstruction except one – the Zero Order Draft of IPCC TAR presented to the Lead Authors in Arusha in September 1999. This spaghetti graph – which didn’t hide the decline – went over like a lead balloon with IPCC – thus the busy emails of September 1999, which I’ve previously discussed. The IPCC spaghetti graph in its First Order Draft (October 1999) adopted a hide-the-decline strategy modeled on the techniques “pioneered” in Jones et al 1999 and Briffa and Osborn 1999 (though Mann varied the method somewhat.)
---
Maybe it is the GlobaloneyCooling which causes Tornadoes? Or maybe we have no idea about the 1 million variables which cause weather patterns, renamed by the EcoTerrorists as 'Climate Change'.....
Solomon: Tornadoes are associated with episodes of great temperature contrasts, often involving unseasonably cold air colliding with warm air. During the 1960s and 1970s, when global temperatures cooled so much that scientists believed we were entering a period of global cooling , the number of tornadoes rose. 1973, which saw 1100 tornadoes in the U.S., was dubbed The Year of the Tornado, only to be followed by the fiercer Widespread Tornado Outbreak of 1974: Of that year’s 148 tornadoes, 118 tore up swathes of at least one mile in length and claimed 330 deaths. As temperatures rose in the following decades, tornadoes steadily declined in number.
Over the last decade, global temperatures stopped rising and have begin to fall. And tornadoes could once again be on the rise, a sign of the global cooling trend that many climate experts have been anticipating.
Reports of cooler temperatures this spring abound. In Canada and the U.S., planting schedules have been delayed . On the other side of the world, fruit farmers in India fear the cold will destroy their crops and yesterday’s Vietnam News warned of a “poor harvest [due] to harsh weather conditions and a prolonged severe cold spell when the rice was being planted.”
All told, according to climatologist Roy Spencer’s excellent blog, “The global-average temperature has plummeted by about 1 deg. F in just one year.” Rather than tornadoes being caused by global warming, as some claim, Spencer states that “if anything, global warming causes FEWER tornado outbreaks…not more. In other words, more violent tornadoes would, if anything, be a sign of ‘global cooling’, not ‘global warming’.”
If the tornadoes are an indicator of global cooling, these would be ill winds, indeed. Apart from the immediate deaths and devastation that tornadoes leave in their wake, cold weather reduces agricultural output, and costs some 40,000 lives a year, according to a Stanford University study.
--
UN's climate map of 50 million refugees by 2010 is here. The UN has since taken it off of its server. Its 2005 prediction was that 50 million of the hated human would have to move out of coastal areas by 2010. Apparently they were wrong. The Eastern US was supposed to be one such scene of carnage all generated by Co2 a chemical 95% of which is emitted by the dear Earth Mother and which comprises less than 1% of all atmospheric gases. I guess O2 will be next on the list of 'toxic' substances causing 'climate catastrophe'.
---
The Green terrorists miss another one. South Pacific island, which was supposed to be underwater by 2010 as predicted by High Priest L Ron Gore in 2006, is apparently alive and well. In fact the Greenie cult predicted back in 2006, that by 2010, some 50 million people, were going to be evacuated by ever-rising oceans. Oh, but in 2008, the Great Man Obama was elected and the earth began to heal........the oceans stopped rising, and rainbows reappeared.
The former residents of Palau, the 2005 models indicated, were among 50 million climate refugees that fell victim to the ravages of climate change by 2010. Although some sceptics point to empirical evidence to dispute the UN data showing the island’s demise, it is well known that climate change models do not lie.
Today’s expeditions, organized by the United Nations Development Programme, a sister UN agency, vows to hold two days of workshops at the very coordinates that once hosted Palau. According to a UNDP press release, the expedition members will “discuss how countries can increase their access to climate funds and use them sustainably.”
To assist in their voyage of discovery, the members of the expeditions will be able to rely on a 2008 map produced by the UNEP cartographer, Emmanuelle Bournay, which shows the lost islands of the Pacific.
To view the map, and the lessons it provides for mankind, click here. To learn more about UNEP’s predictions, click here. For the original study by Professor Norman Myers of Oxford on which the UN based its mapping, click here.
---
Temperatures still heading down.....The cult better hurry up with the 'climate change' rebranding. GlobaloneyWarming needs to mutate to GlobaloneyWeather. In any event we need to have hysteria, calls to eliminate the hated human and assurances that it is 'all worse than we had ever thought'.....
La Nina Coolness Persists
The global average lower tropospheric temperature anomaly for March 2011 fell to -0.10 deg. C, with cooling in both the Northern and Southern Hemispheric extratropics, while the tropics stayed about the same as last month. (I’m on the road in Virgina, so the temperature graph will not be updated until I return on Thursday.)
Canberra Times 1947. Globaloney Warming. Cities to be flooded. Arctic melting. Temp increase since 1900 of 10 C! [All of it nonsense of course]. Sounds familiar? It appears that L Ron and his UN-IPCC/CRU Hadley friends have long antecedents. Cults are nothing, if not persistent in their search for money and power.
---
Another L Ron Gorian myth exploded - sea levels have been decelerating in the past 80 years, not accelerating. One of the great eco-fascist/terrorist claims was that all littoral areas would be flooded, thanks to a gas which is less than 1% of total gases in the atmosphere. How clever. Apparently this fear-mongering is being proven false - along with the rest of the GlobaloneyWarming scam.
From real scientists: "The two researchers also report that they “obtained similar decelerations using worldwide-gauge records in the original data set of Church and White (2006) and a 2009 revision (for the periods of 1930-2001 and 1930-2007) and by extending Douglas’s (1992) analyses of worldwide gauges by 25 years.” Consequently, they rhetorically ask why the concomitant worldwide-temperature increase “has not produced acceleration of global sea level over the past 100 years,” and, indeed, “why global sea level has possibly decelerated for at least the last 80 years.”
Clearly, the reality of the world is vastly different from what is portrayed by the IPCC and the world’s climate alarmists, based on simulations produced by state-of-the-art climate models. And the empirical facts of this particular “detective case” suggest something much less ominous than what they are predicting for earth’s future with regard to the magnitude of sea level change over the remainder of the 21st century."
Pretty soon the Eco Alarmist cult is going to have to find other employment or devise another campaign of irrational cult hysteria. Maybe 'Weather Change' is more malleable and easier to fear-monger with?
---
Record Arctic Melt! Well not really, but it makes good headlines. The Arctic is not receding compared to its historical mean averages and any 'melt' is due to undersea volanic activity. Not knuckle dragging conservative idiots driving their SUVs.....But such real science will not impress the earnest Eco-Fascist.....
“Many miles inside the Arctic Circle, scientists have found vents of scalding liquid rising out of the seafloor at temperatures that are more than twice the boiling point of water.
“The vents, one of which towers four stories high, are located on the Mid-Atlantic Ridge between Greenland and Norway, more than 120 miles farther north than other known vents.
“The newfound vent field is one of the most massive such deposits ever found on the seafloor, said expedition member Marvin Lilley, a University of Washington oceanographer.
The turnaround in the IPCC position was announced by the chairman of the IPCC, Rajendra Pachauri, in a communication with India’s Environment Minister, Jairam Ramesh. The announcement followed the release of a paper by U R Rao, the former chairman of Indian Space Research Organization, that showed cosmic rays alone were responsible for 40% of global warming. These findings by one of Pachauri’s most distinguished countrymen, rebutted IPCC claims that carbon dioxide and other man-made causes were responsible for more than 90% of global warming. Ramesh, who commissioned Rao’s paper, in 2009 had also released a report rebutting the IPCC’s claims that Himalayan glaciers would melt by 2035. The IPCC subsequently retracted its claims in an embarrassment now known as “Glaciergate.”
Until now, the IPCC has argued that the Sun is all-but-irrelevant to global warming, consistent with the IPCC’s very mandate, which dismisses the Sun as a major factor worthy of investigation. Ramesh is hopeful that Pauchari and the IPCC will now open their minds to dissenting scientists. ““There is a groupthink in climate science today,” the minister explained. “Anyone who raises alternative climate theories is immediately branded as a climate atheist in an atmosphere of climate evangelists.”
The Danish National Space Center has pioneered the theory that cosmic rays, by seeding clouds, regulate Earth’s climate – the Danes astounded the scientific world when they actually created clouds in a chamber on Earth. A photo of the path-breaking Danish cloud chamber, and a brief explanation of the science, can be found here.
What clever people these GlobaloneyWarmongers are !
---
Green Nazis running the decrepit UK Metereological Office [the official weather broadcaster] finally being investigated for lying about the weather and climate. Jail them. All part of the GlobaloneyWarming cult.
One scandal involves the UK Met’s reliance on models that predict global warming. Using this flawed research, the Met has been getting its forecasts spectacularly wrong, leading to turmoil when the government was subsequently ill-prepared to clear roads of snow. “Investment in more equipment may not be economic, given rarity of British snow,” stated one article in the Guardian, explaining a government-commissioned report that highlighted the silliness of preparing for weather conditions that won’t occur under global warming. “Are you happy to invest more in kit that may sit at the back of the depot and won’t be used?” the report’s author stated rhetorically.
The UK has now had three fierce winters in a row. In 2008, the UK experienced its coldest winter in 10 years after the Met predicted “a milder than average” winter. In 2009, the UK experienced the coldest winter in 30 years after the Met predicted that “the trend to milder and wetter winters is expected to continue.” In 2010, the UK experienced the coldest winter on record, paralyzing the country’s transportation system and leading the chairman of parliament’s Transport Select committee to indicate that hearings would be occurring.
Of course every year is the 'warmest' year. I guess when you cut the number of temperature reporting stations in half, ignore rural readings and put thermometers next to heat vents in urban settings, than yes, the temp might be getting warmer. In the real world, the climate is getting cooler and ice ages are the climactic norm for the dear Earth Mother.
---
GlobaloneyWarming - the warming causes the cooling, which reinforces the warming.....or some such nonsense. 49 States have snow in the USA. Pace O'Messiah, there are only 8 states without snow.....
Snow is currently on the ground in 69.4 percent of the lower 48 — it would be on 70.2 percent of the ground but Al Gore covered a field of Tennessee Irises with one of his sport jackets so they wouldn’t frost while he was wintering in his new California mansion.
On the topic of climate change, since a heated debate is now raging over “violent political rhetoric” and metaphors, remember this explosive video about what the future might hold for global warming deniers? Of course you don’t, because the left doesn’t participate in such ugliness.
It was at Margaret Thatcher’s personal instigation that the UK Met Office set up its Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, which – in one of her final acts as Prime Minister – she opened in 1990. The Hadley Centre, in turn, was appointed by the newly founded IPCC to provide ‘its primary data set to assess observed global warming.’ Under the leadership of committed Warmist Sir John Houghton, Hadley was also responsible for selecting the lead authors for the IPCC’s scientific working group (Working Group 1) – authors who, in need hardly be said, could be relied on to push the IPCC’s reports in the ‘correct’ alarmist direction.
So yes, up to a point, AGW really was all Thatcher’s fault.
However, as Booker goes on to point out, Lady Thatcher has since very much repented her foolish ways.
In 2003, towards the end of her last book, Statecraft, in a passage headed “Hot Air and Global Warming”, she issued what amounts to an almost complete recantation of her earlier views.
She voiced precisely the fundamental doubts about the warming scare that have since become familiar to us. Pouring scorn on the “doomsters”, she questioned the main scientific assumptions used to drive the scare, from the conviction that the chief force shaping world climate is CO2, rather than natural factors such as solar activity, to exaggerated claims about rising sea levels. She mocked Al Gore and the futility of “costly and economically damaging” schemes to reduce CO2 emissions. She cited the 2.5C rise in temperatures during the Medieval Warm Period as having had almost entirely beneficial effects. She pointed out that the dangers of a world getting colder are far worse than those of a CO2-enriched world growing warmer. She recognised how distortions of the science had been used to mask an anti-capitalist, Left-wing political agenda which posed a serious threat to the progress and prosperity of mankind.
In other words, long before it became fashionable, Lady Thatcher was converted to the view of those who, on both scientific and political grounds, are profoundly sceptical of the climate change ideology.
---
Another Eco-Terrorist myth exploded. This should be #9 on the list of 8 below. Apparently the 'garbage island' between Mexifornia and Japan is 200 times smaller than previous claims. Whoops.
Environmental scientists have been criticised for exaggerating the size of an "island" of plastic waste said to be swirling around in the Pacific Ocean after a study finds that it is 200 times smaller than claimed.
Claims that the "Great Garbage Patch" between California and Japan is twice the size of Texas is "grossly exaggerated" said the research which reckons it is more like one per cent the size.
8 Eco-Terrorist forecasts of doom and millenarian destruction which were utterly and completely wrong.
1. Within a few years "children just aren't going to know what snow is." Snowfall will be "a very rare and exciting event." Dr. David Viner, senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia, interviewed by the UK Independent, March 20, 2000.
Ten years later, in December 2009, London was hit by the heaviest snowfall seen in 20 years. And just last week, a snowstorm forced Heathrow airport to shut down, stranding thousands of Christmas travelers.
A spokesman for the government-funded British Council, where Viner now works as the lead climate change expert, told FoxNews.com that climate science had improved since the prediction was made.
....4. "Using computer models, researchers concluded that global warming would raise average annual temperatures nationwide two degrees by 2010." Associated Press, May 15, 1989.
Status of prediction: According to NASA, global temperature has increased by about 0.7 degrees Fahrenheit since 1989. And U.S. temperature has increased even less over the same period.
The group that did the study, Atmospheric and Environmental Research Inc., said it could not comment in time for this story due to the holidays.
---
Snow in Australia during the summertime. More proof of GlobaloneyWarming! Er Climate Change. We better eradicate 1/3 of the human race quickly before it is too late [we can start with the rejects who believe in GlobaloneyWarmingFraud].
Dozens of residents were evacuated from their homes in the remote town of Carnarvon, some 900 kilometers north of Perth, after a staggering 30 centimeters of rain caused what the Telegraph has called the region's worst flooding in 50 years, damaging crops and cattle stations. Meanwhile, residents in east coast states New South Wales and Victoria experienced a rare "White Christmas"-style start to their holiday week, after a cold spell left up to 10 centimeters of snow covering many of the area's ski resorts, which are usually snow-free this time of year.
---
L Ron Gore admits he lied for own self interest to push his agenda. Result; higher corn prices, massive subsidies of eco schemes with tax dollars; carbon trading regulations, ethanol regulations for new cars [which push up auto prices] and L Ron's net worth going from $2 million to $500 million.
So Vice President Gore's actions were at least partly motivated by self-interest. The Corn Belt's Iowa is one of the early-voting states in U.S. presidential primaries, and Mr. Gore figured that pandering to Iowans by hyping their signature crop would serve his ambitions. He won Iowa and the Democratic nomination in 2000.
Now Mr. Gore admits what economists and ecologists have been saying for years: that ethanol is often counterproductive as a "green" energy source, and that its subsidized uptake has fueled price increases and Third World food shortages. Ever since guys like Al Gore, who don't have to worry where their next bowl of carbs is coming from, convinced each other to dump ethanol down their Lexus tanks at a discount courtesy of the American public, corn has become more precious. Department of Agriculture research shows corn prices this year are 71% higher than in 2005, versus a 55% increase in crude oil. Subsidizing the "market" for ethanol cost U.S. taxpayers more than $7 billion in 2009 alone, and Reuters reports that this year 41% of American corn, or 15% of the global crop, will be converted to ethanol.
Mr. Gore's "mistake" wasn't an error. It was, by his own admission, a calculated decision that no longer benefits him.
---
Hide the Decline ! In temperature that is. See a pattern? Reduce the number of temperature reading stations; make sure the remainder are in or near urban areas and presto! Instant GlobaloneyWarming. Just add L Ron Gore, David Suzuki, the O Messiah [our new God], the media, and a hatred of humans [at least the Whiter ones]. And let's not forget about the children's future. A melange of hope and change. The science is obviously settled.
Climatologist Tim Ball eviscerates the scam. GlobaloneyWarming is about power politics, protectionism and wealth redistribution aka Global Marxism. Period.
The UN-sponsored climate talks underway in Cancun are living up to – or down to – expectations. Proving once again that global warming is more a political issue than a scientific one at the UN, and that wealth transfer rather than warming mitigation is the true goal of UN action, Professor Kevin Andersen of the UK’s Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research has submitted a paper saying “rich” nations such as the U.S. should halt economic growth over the next 20 years while allowing developing nations such as China and India to continue their explosive growth and emissions growth. Enforcement of economic growth restrictions in nations such as the U.S. should be enforced by World War II-style rationing, according to Andersen."
---
There is no science, but too much money for GlobaloneyWarming or 'Climate Change' theology to disappear. The whole point of this scam, as pointed out a decade ago, was to make money and control society. It is called a cult. It is not a science. It has nothing to do with the environment.
Harris and Leyland in the Wash. Times: Today, climate alarmism is de rigueur "science" in virtually all public schools, colleges and universities. Most mainstream media, corporations, even churches and essentially all environmental organizations promote the now politically correct view of human-caused climate change. Aside from President Vaclav Klaus of the Czech Republic, not a single prominent world leader contests the hypothesis that humanity's CO2 emissions are causing dangerous global warming. The fact that the basic science behind the scare is crumbling appears to have no impact on these groups. Instead, science is cherry-picked to prop up public policy that has more to do with pleasing vested interests and satisfying social ideology than protecting the environment.
---
Coming massive Winter storm[s] only prove that Warming causes Cooling which causes more Warming which must reinforce the Cooling.....Or some such irrational stupidity.
Some of the snowbelts downwind of the Great Lakes could easily receive from 1 to 3 feet of new snow next week.
According to Expert Senior Meteorologist Brett Anderson, "The heavy load of snow may cause roofs to fail."
"If the snowfall happens as forecast, it could mean some locations will have 5 to 10 feet of snow on the ground from the most recent lake effect, the storm, and the new lake effect," Anderson added.
Calls for a forcible reduction of some 30 % of the hated human of course abound within Eco-Terrorist circles. I have a simpler plan to eliminate GlobaloneyWarming. We can eliminate Turner, Gore, Suzuki, Porritt, Singer, the UN IPCC, CRU, Hadley, the Goddard Institute, the Sierra Club, Greenpeace and anyone else who supports Fascistic reduction in humans and fetuses. Problem solved and our species collective IQ would double.
Malthusian irrationality: "Mr. Turner – a long-time advocate of population control – said the environmental stress on the Earth requires radical solutions, suggesting countries should follow China’s lead in instituting a one-child policy to reduce global population over time. He added that fertility rights could be sold so that poor people could profit from their decision not to reproduce.
“If we’re going to be here [as a species] 5,000 years from now, we’re not going to do it with seven billion people,” Mr. Turner said."
Genocide? You first Ted.
---
Al Gore [aka L Ron Whore], blamed Katrina on Globaloney Warming. Idiot alert. 5th year in a row that no major Hurricane has hit the US coast. Looking grim for the GlobaloneyWarm-mongers. Globaloney Fraud.
--
Excellent article on the popular animus against GlobaloneyWarming and Eco-Terrorism. Less than half of Western populations believe in GlobaloneyWarming or Eco Terrorist theorizing - down significantly from just a few years ago.
Within a few years only the diehard Marxist, Fascist and Socialist will still be buying Globaloney anything. Lying, distorting, higher taxes, trade manipulation, more fees, eco-police, political bafflegab, demanding that humans be genocidely murdered, moonshine for cars, endless puerile propaganda, carbon trading fiascos.....no wonder the average person is sick and tired of the L Ron Gore inspired death cult.
It's not just happening in Fox News country: In Australia, the number of people willing to believe climate change is caused by humans fell below half in 2010, according to Gallup. Forty percent of voters in Britain now also believe the threat of climate change has been blown out of proportion, according to a Cardiff University poll in June, and less than a third believed it was a direct result of human activity. Just 38% of Canadians are concerned about emissions, according to a recent Leger poll. And at Copenhagen last year, India's environment minister declared that "India will not accept any emission-reduction target, period."
While environmentalists usually finger North Americans as the worst laggards when it comes to imposing carbon limits, it's the shift in Western Europe away from Kyoto-style ideals that has been the most breathtaking. Spain, once heralded as the model for the future of green economies has proposed slashing subsidies to solar and wind power by 30%, and is expected to withdraw financial backing for renewable power plants after economists discovered, too late, that every megawatt of renewable power generated cost five Spanish jobs (Ontario, having cribbed Spain's model, is just now confronting its own electrical cost reckoning). Just 42% of Germans say they're concerned about global warming now, compared to 62% in 2006. And in Britain, the coalition Conservative-Liberal Democratic government has listed climate change initiatives as among the first items targeted for budget cuts.
The trouble, says Ross Mc-Kitrick, the University of Guelph economist who helped expose significant data errors in some of the IPCC's main climate models, is that with their dominating insistence that their science was "settled," that there could be no doubt about their claims, the climate change lobby put their work on a fragile pedestal: when contradictions and exaggerations began to emerge--in the Climategate scandal, in the "hockey stick" temperature graph, in the false claims about glacier melting in the IPCC report, in the series of overstatements or errors a British judge ruled were contained in An Inconvenient Truth, in the high-carbon lifestyles of green lobbyists such as Mr. Gore -- it was just enough to pull the unravelling thread on unsustainable claims about the science being perfectly settled.
Even more importantly public funding for eco-terrorism is being cut.Canada's climate and propaganda terrorist unit 'The Canadian Institute for Climate and Atmospherics Science' [oxymoron], which received $110 million of public money, is closing down. Good riddance.
--
One year anniversary of ClimateGate - where hacks on government money have fear mongered the population at the behest of politicians and the UN. GlobaloneyWarming is the largest scam in history.
Few have read the 2005 email from Climategate ringleader and CRU head Phil Jones to John Christy where he states “The scientific community would come down on me in no uncertain terms if I said the world had cooled from 1998. OK it has but it is only 7 years of data and it isn’t statistically significant.” Or where he concludes: “As you know, I’m not political. If anything, I would like to see the climate change happen, so the science could be proved right, regardless of the consequences. This isn’t being political, it is being selfish.”
Or the email where he broke the law by asking Michael Mann of “hockey stick” fame to delete a series of emails related to a Freedom of Information request he had just received.
Or the email where he wrote: “If they ever hear there is a Freedom of Information Act now in the UK, I think I’ll delete the file rather than send to anyone. We also have a data protection act, which I will hide behind.”
.....In late November of 2009, just days after the initial release of the climategate emails, the University of East Anglia was in the hotseat again. The CRU was forced to admit they had thrown away most of the raw data that their global temperature calculations were based upon, meaning their work was not reproducible by any outside scientists.
Nice. No rational process, no proof, no transparency, no consultation with 'deniers', losing info and emails, bad databases, poor algorithms and models - now that is the scientific method!!
---
Eco Terrorist/Fascist scare-mongering is failing. 'Climate Change' [the seasons for most of us]; is losing credibility all over the world.
Dr. Hans Labohm: For decades the climate debate has been obfuscated by cherry-picking, spin-doctoring and scare-mongering by the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and other climate alarmists, including the environmental movement and mainstream media. Their massive effort to overstate the threat of man-made warming has left its imprint on public opinion.
But the tide seems to be turning. The Climate Conference fiasco in Copenhagen, Climategate scandal and stabilization of worldwide temperatures since 1995 have given rise to growing doubts about the putative threat of “dangerous global warming” or “global climate disruption.” Indeed, even Phil Jones, director of the University of East Anglia’s Climatic Research Unit and one of the main players in Climategate, now acknowledges that there has been no measurable warming since 1995, despite steadily rising atmospheric carbon dioxide.
Fortunately for climate alarmists, the upturned "blade" of the hockey stick is still there, showing rapidly rising temperatures over the past thirty years -- thanks to the valiant efforts of Prof. Phil Jones. We are breathlessly waiting for expert scrutiny of his methods of selecting data from thousands of weather stations to arrive at a single number for "global temperature." Perhaps Jones will reveal the algorithms he devised to "adjust and correct" the raw data. But unfortunately, he did not save the original temperature records; as the saying goes, "The dog ate them.".......
Some final thoughts: Being charitable, I will assume that Mann made honest statistical and other errors in his 1998 and 1999 papers. But after these errors were published widely by M&M, Mann's behavior has been unethical to say the least. He has not replied to the critiques, nor even referenced them. He has just ignored them and tried to muddle the situation. (The National Academy report did the same.)
Is Mann guilty of fraud? I don't know; much depends on what Cuccinelli uncovers. But I am of the opinion that Mann should formally withdraw his flawed papers and no longer refer to them in his bibliography or in grant applications without at least a footnote. Formal withdrawal could create a storm, however, since the 2001 IPCC report built its case for man-made global warming on the validity of the hockey stick. There may be interesting times ahead.
Atmospheric physicist S. Fred Singer is Professor Emeritus of Environmental Sciences at the University of Virginia and founding director of the US Weather Satellite Service. His book Unstoppable Global Warming - Every 1500 Years (Rowman & Littlefield, 2007) presents the evidence for natural climate cycles of warming and cooling and became a New York Times bestseller. He is the organizer and chairman of NIPCC (Non-governmental International Panel on Climate Change), whose reports reach conclusions that contradict those of the U.N.-supported IPCC.
---
Wind power is useless - study confirms the obvious. It damages the environment, it is not clean, it is not green, it is extraordinarily expensive, and it is totally unproductive.
1. Study after study shows that wherever wind development was put in place, natural gas demand went up and the environmental benefits were the opposite of what the advocates expected.
“Cycling” coal plants to accommodate wind generation makes the plants operate inefficiently, which drives up emissions. Moreover, when they are not operated consistently at their designed temperatures, the variability causes problems with the way they interact with their associated emission control technologies, frequently causing erratic emission behavior that can last for several hours before control is regained. Ironically, using wind to a degree that forces utilities to temporarily reduce their coal generation results in greater SO2, NOX and CO2 than would have occurred if less wind energy was generated and coal generation was not impacted.”
2. There is a huge disparity between installed capacity and actual output into the system. In many cases the actual output in the system is less than 20% and in some cases even far less.
There are other unsavory facts that are included in these graphics such as the area required by a wind farm compared to, e.g., nuclear power plant. The Roscoe wind farm in Texas occupies 100,000 acres for a bit less than 800 MW of installed capacity; the Palo Verde nuclear power plant in Arizona occupies 4,050 acres (4 percent of the Texas wind farm) but has a 500 percent larger power capacity (almost 4,000 MW.)
Even more obscene are the government subsidies that go into wind power. For an energy source that barely exceeds one percent of energy output, wind subsidies are $23 per megawatt hour, about 60 times of the $0.44 per megawatt hour that go to the mainstay of US electrical power output, coal and 100 times the $0.25 per megawatt hour that go to natural gas, the two sources that account for over 70 percent of US power supply. Way to go for social engineering.
---
Spain's $126 Billion Euro debt for its Solar power madness...another great example of Greenist delusion in which reality is trumped by illusion.
"Now Vilimelis and more than 50,000 other Spanish solar entrepreneurs face financial disaster as the policy makers contemplate cutting the price guarantees that attracted their investment in the first place.
“You feel cheated,” he says. “We put our money in on the basis of a law.”
Zapatero introduced the subsidies three years ago as part of an effort to cut his country’s dependence on fossil fuels. At the time, he promised that the investment in renewable energy would create manufacturing jobs and that Spain could sell its panels to nations seeking to reduce carbon emissions.
Yet by failing to control the program’s cost, Zapatero saddled Spain with at least 126 billion euros of obligations to renewable-energy investors. The spending didn’t achieve the government’s aim of creating green jobs, because Spanish investors imported most of their panels from overseas when domestic manufacturers couldn’t meet short-term demand"
Bloomberg article here. Lots of debt, no power production to speak of and blighted landscapes. Sounds like a winner!
---
Britain's Royal Society 'humiliated' by Globaloney Warming lies [er called a 'math error']
German born chemist, Dr Klaus L. E. Kaiser has published evidence that proves the Royal Society (RS), London, has been caught out making schoolboy errors in mathematical calculations over the duration of carbon dioxide (CO2) in Earth’s atmosphere. Backed up by a review by a leading Swedish mathematics professor the revelation is a serious embarrassment to the credibility of the once revered British science institute and a major setback for its claims about climate change.
A gaffe in their own basic calculations led the RS to falsely find that CO2 would stay in the atmosphere for thousands of years rather than a dozen or so as per peer-reviewed studies show. Global warming skeptics have been quick to condemn the error and demand an apology and immediate correction.
The Royal Society advises the British government on matters concerning climate change. Due to the scale of the error any forthcoming review will necessarily result in a substantial downward revision of the threat posed by CO2 in the official government numbers.
State funded PHD's who can't do basic math? Another shocking development......
---
Intolerant Canadian Eco-Terrorist and state-funded millionaire David Suzuki calls for a radical shift in our life-style [but not for himself of course, he is far too important].
Another irrational propagandist of human-hate; and eco-fascist theology. He also advocates killing 10-30% of the human race [how tolerant and reasonable].
"But we have to face that and then get on with the most important aspect of our lives. I believe it is our duty, our responsibility as elders to sift through our experiences over our lifetime, our observations and thoughts to distill a legacy – a legacy that is worth passing on.”
That legacy is nothing less than the planet – a healthy planet, which is a tall order for a species that seems hell bent on wiping it out.
Taking the audience back in time, Suzuki said that the only reason early humans survived a hostile world was thanks to “a two-kilogram organ buried deep inside our head.
“But if we’re so intelligent, why do we destroy the planet… by turning it into a toxic dump?” he asked."
No the real problem David Zucchini are eco-terrorist bores and liars like yourself. Nicely enriched from the tax system of course. The most virulent toxic dump on the planet, are in the fetid brains of people like this eco-terrorist.
No kidding. L Ron Gore's net worth went from USD$ 2 million to $500 mn. The man should be in jail. He also, conveniently, owns shares in the world's largest 'carbon trading firms'. Thousand of academic and state funded hacks, live off of the Globaloney Warming Eco-Terrorism funding, or more accurately, stolen public monies. It is a travesty of irrationality married with criminality.
Harold Lewis is Emeritus Professor of Physics, University of California, Santa Barbara, former Chairman; Former member Defense Science Board, chmn of Technology panel; Chairman DSB study on Nuclear Winter; Former member Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards; Former member, President’s Nuclear Safety Oversight Committee; Chairman APS study on Nuclear Reactor Safety, Chairman Risk Assessment Review Group; Co-founder and former Chairman of JASON; Former member USAF Scientific Advisory Board....[But besides all of that he is just a Denier!]
There are indeed trillions of dollars involved, to say nothing of the fame and glory (and frequent trips to exotic islands) that go with being a member of the club. Your own Physics Department (of which you are chairman) would lose millions a year if the global warming bubble burst. When Penn State absolved Mike Mann of wrongdoing, and the University of East Anglia did the same for Phil Jones, they cannot have been unaware of the financial penalty for doing otherwise. As the old saying goes, you don’t have to be a weatherman to know which way the wind is blowing. Since I am no philosopher, I’m not going to explore at just which point enlightened self-interest crosses the line into corruption, but a careful reading of the ClimateGate releases makes it clear that this is not an academic question.
Globaloney Warming is a $2 Trillion and counting criminality.......It makes the UN look honest.
---
Climate Terrorists; Targeting the Children.
Videos of Eco-Propagandists linking human activity to the murder of children. Goebbels would have approved.
And of course the requisite advertising propaganda going out to the schools.....
As usual the great minds of the Eco Terrorist movement will blame cold weather on 'Global Warming'.
Co2 is less than 1 % of all atmospheric gases. It is impossible that it 'forces' any climate change let alone both cold and warm temperature swings. There are about 1 million variables in climate - yet we are to believe that a natural chemical is the only and most important determinant of weather ? How then do these geniuses explain the ending of the last ice age 12.000 to 15.000 years ago?
---
Eco Terrorists openly advocate killing humans. Isn't genocide part of what the term 'fascist' denotes?
From a good article on this topic - Eco alarmism long ago mutated into a cult advocating irrationality and death.
In fact, some of the wealthiest and most prominent people in the world are absolutely obsessed with the green agenda and with population control. Just consider the following quotes....
David Rockefeller: "The negative impact of population growth on all of our planetary ecosystems is becoming appallingly evident."
CNN Founder Ted Turner: "A total population of 250-300 million people, a 95% decline from present levels, would be ideal."
Dave Foreman, Earth First Co-Founder: "My three main goals would be to reduce human population to about 100 million worldwide, destroy the industrial infrastructure and see wilderness, with it’s full complement of species, returning throughout the world."
Maurice Strong: "Isn’t the only hope for the planet that the industrialized civilizations collapse? Isn’t it our responsibility to bring that about?"
Michael Oppenheimer: "The only hope for the world is to make sure there is not another United States. We can’t let other countries have the same number of cars, the amount of industrialization, we have in the US. We have to stop these Third World countries right where they are."
Not only that, but this radical population control agenda has actually reached the highest levels of the U.S. government.
In an absolutely shocking interview with the New York Times, U.S. Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg openly admitted that abortion is all about population control. In particular, she confessed that abortion is about getting rid of "populations that we don't want to have too many of"....
"Frankly I had thought that at the time Roe was decided, there was concern about population growth and particularly growth in populations that we don’t want to have too many of."
So was she asked to step down from the Supreme Court?
Did anyone make much of a fuss?
No, Ginsburg is still serving on the Supreme Court and that statement is long forgotten.
You see, the truth is that this population control philosophy runs rampant throughout the highest levels of the U.S. government.
John P. Holdren, Barack Obama's top science advisor, co-authored a textbook entitled "Ecoscience" back in 1977 in which he actually advocated mass sterilization, compulsory abortion, a one world government and a global police force to enforce population control.
On page 837 of Ecoscience, a claim is made that compulsory abortion would be perfectly legal under the U.S. Constitution....
“Indeed, it has been concluded that compulsory population-control laws, even including laws requiring compulsory abortion, could be sustained under the existing Constitution if the population crisis became sufficiently severe to endanger the society.”
On pages 942 and 943, a call is made for the creation of a "planetary regime" that would control the global economy and enforce population control measures....
Lunatics. But you would never know the insanity of these cadre of cult worshippers, steeped in irrationality and human-hate. The media and the educational misinformation systems, simply applaud.
---
Study after study shows that wherever wind development was put in place, natural gas demand went up and the environmental benefits were the opposite of what the advocates expected.
“Cycling” coal plants to accommodate wind generation makes the plants operate inefficiently, which drives up emissions. Moreover, when they are not operated consistently at their designed temperatures, the variability causes problems with the way they interact with their associated emission control technologies, frequently causing erratic emission behavior that can last for several hours before control is regained. Ironically, using wind to a degree that forces utilities to temporarily reduce their coal generation results in greater SO2, NOX and CO2 than would have occurred if less wind energy was generated and coal generation was not impacted.”
There is a huge disparity between installed capacity and actual output into the system. In many cases the actual output in the system is less than 20% and in some cases even far less.
There are other unsavory facts that are included in these graphics such as the area required by a wind farm compared to, e.g., nuclear power plant. The Roscoe wind farm in Texas occupies 100,000 acres for a bit less than 800 MW of installed capacity; the Palo Verde nuclear power plant in Arizona occupies 4,050 acres (4 percent of the Texas wind farm) but has a 500 percent larger power capacity (almost 4,000 MW.)
Even more obscene are the government subsidies that go into wind power. For an energy source that barely exceeds one percent of energy output, wind subsidies are $23 per megawatt hour, about 60 times of the $0.44 per megawatt hour that go to the mainstay of US electrical power output, coal and 100 times the $0.25 per megawatt hour that go to natural gas, the two sources that account for over 70 percent of US power supply. Way to go for social engineering.
---
The Front Page
News stories and analysis from Human Events Online.
The second Florida debate: Santorum's big night It’s only natural that the front-running candidates would receive extra attention, especially when they go after each other as vigorously as Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney did during the second Florida debate, hosted by CNN. Somewhere in the melee of accusations about each others’ finances, campaign advertising, hunger to deport. . .
Debt ceiling skyrockets to $16 trillion Senate votes to approve an increase in the debt ceiling, allowing debt to balloon to more than 108 percent of the GDP.
Ethanol subsidies: Down but not out At the end of last year's legislative session, Congress let two of corn ethanol's market-rigging policy gimmicks tumble into history's dustbin.
Mitch Daniels a contender for 2016 Indiana governor's evenhanded response to Obama's SOTU offers much that conservatives can learn from.
Mitt Romney's taxes The defenders of an ineffective state whine about effective tax rates.
The real State of the Union The President's class warfare, his commitment to raising taxes and increasing regulation, and his failed ideology make his vision for America one of the most radical in our history.
Nothing sound about EPA science Three years after Obama's inaugural promise to "restore science to its rightful place," government agencies have uncovered numerous instances of scientific abuse.